Elon Musk's loss in his case against Sam Altman over OpenAI's future is bullish for OpenAI's supply chain, including Cerebras, CoreWeave, Oracle and SoftBank. x.comÂ
Matthew Sigel
Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, Portfolio Manager of NODE ETF
OpenAI is winning, making SoftBank stock worth seriously considering as an investment. The view is still at the consideration stage. x.comÂ
Diversified cash flows in the billions make the AI-buildout basket more appealing than standalone model companies. Many members look reasonably priced and have longer records of delivering returns; Anthropic and OpenAI look much more like gambles at current valuations, though either could appeal at the right price. A possible equal-weight portfolio to revisit in five years includes Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle and SpaceX. x.com x.comÂ
CoreWeave's financing looks more vulnerable amid a debt-market pullback for AI-data-center-dependent companies. Elon Musk says access has almost entirely shut off in recent weeks for firms without substantial revenue outside AI data centers, and expects few of the 200-plus neoclouds to survive consolidation. x.comÂ
Cerebras looks attractive because the short report's two-year wafer-life thesis rests on unvalidated reliability assumptions, not representative failure data. Energy per useful token, lower warranty utilization and ordinary repair accounting also undercut its financial conclusions. OpenAI has integrated Cerebras into production; AMD and AWS have announced integrations, while Oracle plans 2027 availability for ultra-fast inference, adding commercial validation despite the report. x.com x.comÂ
AI product, networking, compute and power demand could reward patient owners of Meta, Nokia, Oracle, Broadcom, IREN and Vistra. Meta's Muse could unlock massive revenue; free cash flow could recover when AI spending slows. Nokia works with Nvidia on AI-RAN and 6G. Oracle has $664B in obligations and massive potential reward from OpenAI. Broadcom's AI chip revenue rose 221% to $16.7B; IREN has a $9.7B Microsoft contract and 5 GW of power. AI power bottlenecks favor Vistra. x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
SoftBank's $64.6 billion OpenAI commitment leaves it exposed to a loss-making company that needs more funding, while junk-rated borrowing costs around 10% and credit spreads have climbed. An OpenAI IPO matters greatly; despite SoftBank's good assets, a price roughly another 50% lower could look like value. x.com x.comÂ
SoftBank stands to benefit as OpenAI's comeback plays out, with the general discourse already shifting this week. Codex revenue doubled in seven days, while Anthropic still needs to solve its compute situation, consistent with the call that GPT-5.5 and new Codex features would recapture share and OpenAI's earlier compute spending would sustain its lead. x.comÂ
These 12 stocks offer exposure to AI, automation, health care, consumer growth and nuclear demand. AMD makes AI chips; Oracle builds AI cloud; Vertex has multiple drug opportunities. Arista supplies data-center switches, KLA inspection tools and Cadence chip-design tools. Palantir sells AI platforms; Symbotic automates warehouses; Alphabet spans search, cloud and AI. Celsius has US consumer momentum, AppLovin runs high-margin mobile ads, and Cameco mines uranium and co-owns Westinghouse. x.com … Show more
Oracle's OpenAI exposure makes buying its shares here a bet too big to take. x.com x.comÂ
Cerebras CEO Andrew Feldman says a shortage of data centers kept it from OpenAI's much wider next-generation Ultrafast rollout, despite the first deployment's success. The explanation is reasonable and the market should appreciate Cerebras's response, though it came much too late: responsive, straightforward investor communication is table stakes. x.com x.comÂ