BlackBerry's $1.2B QNX backlog looks substantial against its $5B market cap. Quarter-over-quarter earnings growth, positive EBITDA and its Nvidia physical-AI and robotics RTOS partnership underpin the bullish case. x.com  x.com 

BlackBerry's re-rating case is getting more tangible after a print that delivered the evidence it needed. QNX revenue rose 27%, it landed its largest-ever design win, and operating cash-flow guidance went up. It wasn't perfect, since Secure Communications still needs work, but the long stance holds. x.com 

BlackBerry's turnaround is real, but the stock already prices in a lot of execution that hasn't shown up in the numbers. QNX revenue rose 20% to a record $78.7 million, its royalty backlog hit $950 million, and a deeper Nvidia deal takes QNX into robotics, medical and industrial systems. But after a roughly 140% gain it trades above 100x earnings, most analysts rate it Hold with targets about 50% below the price, and growth still leans on autos, exposed to tariffs and slower car production. … Show more

BlackBerry's substantial lead over prospective entrants in its niche leaves no reason for its shares to trade below $25, a somewhat conservative minimum. x.com 

BlackBerry's QNX royalty backlog above $1.2B gives greater visibility into future high-margin software revenue. It rose 26% in two quarters, reflecting demand in software-defined vehicles and potential for more royalties per vehicle, with opportunities in autonomous systems and robotics. The backlog is not guaranteed revenue. x.com 

BlackBerry is expensive against its cash earnings, trading at 42 times this year's and 38 times next year's, while software companies usually get about 30. Fair value runs about $6.05 to $7.70, or 30 times next year's cash earnings, so at $8.73 buyers pay roughly 13% above the top of that range; above $10.18 it is expensive. x.com 

BlackBerry is probably a good long-term bet as an unexpected winner of its pivot from phones to isolated operating systems, whose target markets of robotics, autonomous vehicles and space travel are all growing. The chart also looks bullish, with a clear inverse head-and-shoulders bottom in 2024, several breakouts and gaps up, and the price now above many key support levels. Its market cap is around $5.5B. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

BlackBerry's QNX is becoming a non-negotiable foundation for physical AI and smart vehicles, driving high-margin recurring royalties. Its Global Embedded Market segment is now its fastest-growing, the robotics and industrial-automation pipeline is at a record high, and Nvidia is embedding QNX in autonomous machine stacks. Quarterly revenue of $152.9 million beat the $137.7 million consensus, and management raised full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance. x.com 

Dell, Nokia, Intel, Qualcomm, Micron, BlackBerry and Cisco becoming the market's hottest stocks evokes May 2000. There are real earnings this time, but many of these names have run far ahead of their current earnings momentum. x.com  x.com  x.com 

BlackBerry has become a critical-systems software company, as its QNX software is the hidden operating system in 275 million cars, running collision warnings, blind-spot detection, adaptive cruise and lane-keep assist. The same technology runs surgical robots, medical devices and factory automation. QNX is now 50% of revenue, and BlackBerry has posted four straight profitable quarters, its first since it competed with the iPhone. It combines meme-stock appeal with real fundamentals. x.com