Diversified cash flows in the billions make the AI-buildout basket more appealing than standalone model companies. Many members look reasonably priced and have longer records of delivering returns; Anthropic and OpenAI look much more like gambles at current valuations, though either could appeal at the right price. A possible equal-weight portfolio to revisit in five years includes Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle and SpaceX. x.com  x.com 

Amazon looks attractive because AWS is growing 36% year over year while being less exposed to OpenAI and Anthropic than peers. That combination offers strong growth with less single-lab risk, yet Amazon trades near its lowest valuation ever. x.com 

Amazon is lining up $10 billion more for OpenAI, a company whose CFO Sarah Friar has voiced worry, per Bloomberg, that it may not be able to pay future compute contracts if revenue does not grow fast enough. OpenAI, valued at $852 billion with no actual profit, is a hole that eats Nvidia GPUs and investor cash, and AWS ends up funding a customer it competes against. This looks like a WeWork moment in data centers, not an iPhone moment. x.com 

Amazon's OpenAI Agents API integration widens Bedrock's model ecosystem and route to enterprise AI revenue. Its AI business and custom silicon each exceed a $25 billion annualized run rate with triple-digit growth, while AWS grew 37% to $42.2 billion. High-margin advertising adds earnings support; at 21-22x forward earnings versus a five-year median of 48x, the stock looks attractive. Amazon could reach $346. x.com 

AWS's rapid growth in a huge business makes the long-term outlook decisively bullish for Amazon and the AI ecosystem. AWS revenue grew 39.3% year over year in September 2026; management guides for growth above 40% in 2027 and 2028. Amazon is always very conservative with guidance, making that AI outlook doubly bullish. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Hyperscalers' incremental return on capital is cratering, so hard spending decisions are coming. In the June quarter, Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet grew LTM EBIT 20% but needed 38% more deployed capital, before token prices cratered and with much demand from non-self-sustaining OpenAI. Compute and models may become a utility-like commodity. Insiders are selling, with Jeff Bezos filing to sell $4B of Amazon stock, and Google's $25B bond deal widened hyperscaler credit spreads. x.com  x.com 

Amazon's record AI spending looks backed by AWS demand, despite pressure on near-term profit. AWS grew 39% to $46bn, and CEO Andy Jassy projects growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. Quarterly capex reached $77.3bn, almost $20bn above expectations; the Q4 profit guide missed and retail ads softened. AWS acceleration makes the drop worth buying. Overweight; $370 target. x.com  x.com 

Amazon has an incredible growth runway, and Andy Jassy's latest shareholder letter leaves no doubt that it is the leader in AI. x.com 

Amazon does not look like a huge AI winner based on its stock chart. Replacing American workers with H-1B hires who may not know how to maintain what was built is a further concern. x.com 

Alphabet's core Search growth is slowing while AI spending surges, making the selloff look deserved despite fast Cloud growth. Search growth fell from 19% to 17% to 12% over three quarters; Search now represents just under half of revenue. The stock could fall to $250, though Amazon is the preferred buy. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com