American Eagle Outfitters looks cheap at 10.2x current-year consensus P/E versus 14.6x for Levi's, which just posted a whopping quarter and guide, and its Sydney Sweeney campaign is back. x.comÂ
Wasteland Capital
Global Markets Investor, US, UK & European Assets
American Eagle's post-earnings drop looks like an opportunity, since the company crushed earnings, and its partnerships with Sydney Sweeney and Ella Langley are not something to bet against. x.comÂ
American Eagle should do well on earnings, as peers Gap and Abercrombie & Fitch jumped 15% and 40% after theirs. Tariff refunds and weight loss from oral GLP-1 drugs should help, while fashion is shifting away from the COVID-era gym clothes that favored Nike and Gen Z and Gen Alpha are adopting millennial nostalgia. x.comÂ
American Eagle's governance now outweighs a story that is otherwise likeable. Management bonuses tied to tariff refunds are pretty terrible governance, and the company also sold part of the tariff refund at a discount. Management that brazen raises the question of how else shareholders are being shortchanged. x.com x.comÂ
Consensus underestimates Levi Strauss's transition into a high-margin direct-to-consumer brand, making it a conviction buy with a $34 target, about 40% upside, over 12-18 months. DTC now drives over 50% of revenue, lifting margins and cutting wholesale dependence. Brand equity gives it pricing power, the Dockers divestiture streamlines operations, and a ~2.5% dividend plus buybacks support EPS. As DTC tops 55% of sales, EV/sales could rerate from about 1.2x toward 1.6x-1.8x. x.comÂ
Urban Outfitters looks reasonably priced at about 12x earnings while testing a breakout to all-time highs. x.comÂ
Nike is not deep value: it still trades at about 26 times, against roughly 9.4 times for Lululemon, and the consumer is not looking healthy heading into the second half of 2026. x.comÂ