Ondas is a $12 stock trading at $7, and this dip is a generational opportunity to buy it at a discount. It posted a record $83.8M quarter, with trailing revenue up nearly 10x. x.comÂ
Bill Brooklyn
Capital Preservation, Asymmetric Risk/Reward, Holding Winners
Ondas could have serious upside over the next few years if it delivers anywhere close to the 30%-40% portfolio growth its CEO Eric Brock expects. At current levels, the stock is starting to look compelling. x.comÂ
Ondas is a stock being accumulated into its Q1 earnings report, with shares around $9 beforehand and up 12.7% after the results. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Ondas's growth without margin discipline is a warning because it is so far from profitable: its EBITDA loss widened from $10.9M to $50.6M in one quarter. Revenue, orders and defense contracts are real, and guidance rose by $160M, yet the stock fell 8%. x.comÂ
Ondas looks like one of the best risk/reward small-to-mid-cap opportunities after a 60% pullback reset its valuation to under 3 times next-twelve-month EV/revenue. Acquisitions brought dilution but made it stronger, more diversified and added revenue. The five-year model targets $2.4B of revenue in 2030 at 16% net margins, implying $26-30 a share, about 350% upside. The stock is bouncing off the 0.618 Fibonacci level from its 2025 lows, and positive EBITDA within 12 months is the hope. x.comÂ
Ondas's quarter showed its autonomous systems business scaling faster than expected. Revenue of $50.12 million beat the $39.35 million estimate, it raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $390 million and reached positive adjusted EBITDA. Pro forma backlog stands at $457 million, up from $68 million at the end of 2025. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Ondas is still a bit early to buy because its story now depends on execution rather than demand, while acquisitions weigh on the shares. Full-year revenue guidance of $525M-$550M implies $390M-$415M in the second half, and the pipeline grew from about $4B to over $11B on European and Asia-Pacific defense deals, but a pipeline only matters once it becomes contracts and deliveries. Q2 carried integration costs and stock compensation; management should pause deals to integrate what it has bought. … Show more
Ondas is on track to reach $2 billion in revenue in 2027, which on its own makes the bull case. x.comÂ
Ondas Holdings does not look too expensive for a company tied to the defense and drone supercycle with revenue growing nearly 1,000%. It has a $457 million backlog nearing $600 million after its $125 million Cyberhawk acquisition and recently raised its 2026 revenue target to $390 million, yet trades at about 8x EV to forward sales. Cyberhawk adds an inspection platform with 95% recurring revenue and a large real-world asset dataset. Risk-reward looks good as long as the market does not crash. … Show more
Ondas's business looks stronger after Q2, but the stock is a different story because expectations were already very high and profitability remains far away. Revenue of $83.8M rose 67% quarter over quarter, pro forma backlog reached about $757M with $105M more booked in Q3, and FY2026 guidance rose to $525-$550M from at least $390M. Yet EPS of -$0.19 missed badly and the adjusted EBITDA loss widened to about -$50.6M, and shares sold off despite the beat and raise. x.comÂ
Ondas should keep investing aggressively rather than chase profitability now, as orders and backlog explode while it holds about $1.4B of cash. Q2 revenue grew about 13x year over year, new orders were $175M, another ~$105M was booked in Q3 by the report, and backlog reached ~$757M, against adjusted EBITDA of about -$50.6M. The next test is operating leverage: expenses growing slower than revenue, gross profit expanding and EBITDA losses compressing over the next few quarters. x.comÂ