Sivers Semiconductors' new $8.2M production order for Ka-band beamforming ICs, shared by @StormDirac, is a strongly positive development for the stock. x.comÂ
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Small/Mid-Cap Trader, Multibagger/Penny Stocks, Earnings Analysis & Signals
Sivers is set to outperform in 2026 and become the next AXT, because it is the primary supplier of remote laser modules and micro-ring modulators for NVIDIA's CPO switch architecture. A quoted post adds that NVIDIA's DSX blueprint includes CPO networking, so IREN's 5GW DSX-aligned deal could draw on Sivers lasers. Swedish investors still don't value its AI use case. x.com x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' new $8.2M production order for Ka-band SATCOM chips through 2027 adds defense validation. A semiconductor selloff changes nothing for the business, and further drops would be normal. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' LiDAR design win is closer to generating revenue now that its customer has placed initial production orders. Shipments begin in Q4 2026; automotive and industrial programs target 2027 production. Sivers estimates $53M-$138M in lifetime revenue potential, not firm backlog; the initial order value is undisclosed and the program was announced in March. Repeat orders and shipment growth must convert potential into revenue; the market also wants profitability. x.com x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' $30M expansion of its Glasgow InP fab, targeting over 100M CW DFB lasers a year by Q4 2027, likely means hard dilution. As @PhotonCap notes, the plan shifts Sivers toward hybrid manufacturing, and its capacity target and customer ramps remain forward-looking rather than committed volumes. x.comÂ
Sivers is less exposed to tighter AI financing because its 700M SEK raise funds a buildout largely reliant on external foundries. It is qualifying with Ayar, Jabil, GlobalFoundries and O-Net for potential tier-one hyperscaler pluggable, CPO and NPO deployments. Higher rates may strain neoclouds needing billions for GPUs, but optical content and aggregate demand should still rise even if hyperscaler AI capex falls, especially as new players start qualification. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' new GlobalFoundries collaboration, combined with a bounce off its 20-day EMA near 59 SEK, points to another move higher. Per @ren_stocks, Sivers' laser arrays will be integrated into GlobalFoundries' silicon photonics reference designs and its SCALE co-packaged light-engine platform, putting its lasers across CPO, LPO and other data center interconnects through a tier-1 foundry. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' AI optics rally prices in more than its photonics business has shown. About 75% of revenue is still wireless mmWave. Its 50-75mW CW lasers suit 400G and 800G but trail tier-1 rivals, making it a tier-2 spillover supplier like Applied Optoelectronics. Its small, old Glasgow fab has $50-150 million of potential laser revenue, with no sign of major expansion. Its multi-wavelength laser arrays for CPO are pre-revenue as Nvidia and Broadcom build their own. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors has a real, qualified design win with GlobalFoundries, answering short-seller doubts about its AI pipeline. GlobalFoundries is integrating Sivers' indium-phosphide laser arrays into its silicon photonics platform and SCALE co-packaged optics engines, the high-bandwidth, low-power interconnects AI clusters need. @MoodyWriter13 notes it is not a supply contract and has no delivery timeline or committed volume, but as a design win it is a big deal. x.com x.comÂ
The market does not understand the potential of Sivers Semiconductors' collaboration with POET Technologies. Per @aleabitoreddit, POET's confirmation of "far in excess" of purchase orders, on top of its Marvell supplier relationships, translates materially to Sivers laser production, and markets have not fully priced in either. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors is expensive because its valuation rests on a $1.2 billion opportunity pipeline, an unreliable KPI. At 15% conversion next year, it trades near 22x 2027 sales versus Lumentum's 14x and Coherent's and AAOI's 5x, and about 13x 2029 sales versus 3-9x for incumbents with contracted LTAs. The InP laser shortage is Lumentum's and Coherent's asset; Sivers gains access only in H2 2027 if all goes to plan and needs the shortage into 2028. It is a swing trade, not a conviction hold. … Show more
Sivers Semiconductors is drawing growing US interest, which is bullish: JPMorgan has followed Deutsche Bank in filing a Form F-6EF for a Sivers ADR, per @Sofigoodboy. x.comÂ