Bussin Science Investor
Investor Focused on Risk/Reward
Ford is set to become a legacy blue chip that quietly turns into a growth stock on the AI capex boom, as Nokia did. It is already announcing multi-year supply deals with energy facility developers for its new US-assembled battery energy storage business, which serves utilities, data centers and large industrial and commercial customers. x.comÂ
Ford could be the next legacy blue chip rerated by the AI capex boom as it enters US grid battery storage, targeting 20 GWh a year by 2027, which would make it second only to Tesla in the US. Behind-the-meter data center power has left batteries supply-constrained, and utilities and hyperscalers want a counterparty that will last. Ford is repurposing paid-for BlueOval SK capacity in Kentucky. Tesla Energy alone is valued at $200-250 billion versus about $50 billion for all of Ford. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Ford is setting up for a breakout as it expands beyond autos into energy storage for AI data centers and utilities. Together with its 2026 rollout of cheaper LFP batteries, that points to EV margin expansion the street has not priced in. The chart supports it: a confirmed golden cross, with the 50-day moving average above the 200-day, and price bouncing off heavy $14 support on accelerating volume, signaling accumulation. x.comÂ
Ford could show better batteries than Tesla within two years through its participation in a European solid-state battery initiative. Spain's homegrown solid-state batteries, born of European cooperation, are entering industrialization for the grid within 12 months and for autos soon after. That could drive a re-rating of the stock. x.com x.comÂ
Ford's battery storage push is incremental at best, yet it added 40%, or $20B, to the market cap since the May 18 announcement. Using Tesla Megapack economics, Ford's hoped-for 20 GWh a year from 2028, after a $2B investment, would mean $3-5B revenue and $1-1.5B gross profit, raising gross profit dollars only 6-10%. That assumes full demand, Tesla-like efficiency and no price erosion, unlikely given battery history, Tesla's new 60 GWh Houston plant and Ford's lack of scale or balance sheet. … Show more
Tesla's $1.4T valuation prices in absolute perfection and leaves too little headroom to outperform the market over the next few years. Robotaxis, FSD, Optimus, AI and energy storage are exciting, but the share price pays now for what may be achievable in a decade. Tesla makes half Ford's free cash flow, and Uber earns more than double its net income at about a tenth of the value. Car sales peaked in 2022-23 as Chinese automakers ended growth, so it is unclear where the cash comes from. x.com … Show more
Ford's shift toward its high-margin Ford Pro commercial platform is changing how markets value its long-term cash flow. Ford Pro's paid software subscriptions rose 24% year over year, and aftermarket services now provide nearly 20% of its segment profit, stickier and more recession-resistant than vehicle making. A tentative deal with Canada's Unifor union for 5,150 workers, plus supply pacts such as with Micron, eased production and cost fears, and the stock reclaimed its 50-day average. x.comÂ
Ford's low-price push against Chinese EV makers is unlikely to end well because the segment is intensely price-sensitive and Chinese manufacturers innovate and refresh models at a frightening pace. Ford should expect margin erosion, and one successful pickup would not dent the disruption under way. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy could look cheap if it hits its revenue targets amid exploding demand for on-site power. Revenue is projected at $4.5B in 2026 and $16B by 2029, implying 3.5x 2029 sales at a $56B market cap. It ranks alongside Forgent Power Solutions, perhaps better, as a buy at current levels. x.com x.comÂ
Fluence Energy's battery storage systems address the AI data-center power bottleneck. AI clusters need massive steady power that slow grid expansion cannot supply, and Fluence's behind-the-meter storage gives hyperscalers faster grid access, load shaping and backup power. A record backlog above $5.6 billion and doubled order intake support growth across grid, renewables and data centers, while gross margin is climbing and cash flow improving. The company began as a Siemens and AES joint venture. … Show more
T1 Energy is undervalued as an essential power provider for the AI boom, with an aggressive 18-month target of $18 against an average analyst target of $9.00-10.25. As hyperscalers hit a power bottleneck, its pivot to US solar manufacturing, battery storage via the KORE Power acquisition and possible data center repurposing make it a high-conviction growth play. The target assumes successful G2 Austin execution, positive EBITDA in 2027 and a lasting premium for US AI-adjacent energy names. x.com … Show more
QuantumScape has a second growth leg the market is not pricing: battery-in-rack backup for AI data centers. Its non-combustible ceramic separator lets cells sit inside server racks, buffering millisecond power spikes faster than external UPS systems as racks pass 100 kW. In EVs, Honda signed a development deal after validating hardware. A hyperscaler design win would re-rate it as AI infrastructure. It has $904M of liquidity, but is pre-revenue and depends on scaling its Cobra process reliably. … Show more
