Penguin Solutions is riding a CXL mania that is only getting started. Six weeks of accumulation were followed by an engulfing, high-volume buying day and record earnings, putting the stock halfway to a $110 target. x.com
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Penguin Solutions delivered a double beat and raise, an episodic pivot on earnings. The chart shows a rare setup: a high-volume event followed by another high-volume event and higher highs. x.com
Penguin Solutions' cash-flow problems should resolve as operating cash flow doubles in FY27 and rises sharply in FY28. Operating income should double in 2027, though contracts and rack shipments are hard to model. Bullish into the midterms, not later amid high rates, turning credit and valuation. FY27 earnings justify $100; $150 by 2028 assumes no macro headwinds. A new facility could need $30-50M in power upgrades, and strong CXL demand could swell inventory. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Penguin Solutions' price may be getting ahead of fundamentals, so it is now on a do-not-chase list. The stock has kept pumping, partly on retail hype from subscription sellers, and trades near 100x earnings after breaking out of a three-year consolidation range. It can keep running on hype alone. x.com
Penguin Solutions' selloff on a Barclays note looks like a big overreaction to a strong quarter. Revenue hit a record $478.7 million, up 48%, with Integrated Memory up 111% and non-GAAP EPS up 79% to $0.84; it added four AI infrastructure customers, became an Nvidia AI Factory Specialized Partner, and raised FY2026 revenue growth guidance to 22% from 12%. Fundamentals and future growth are far too strong to justify this price, and the convertible was actually smart and bullish. x.com x.com
Penguin Solutions should beat earnings by turning memory it stockpiled cheaply into expensive CXL systems after insane memory price increases. Its memory business grew 63% last quarter, and it spent $109.2M of cash on inventory in Q2. On June 1 it guided FY2026 sales and EPS to the high end of its ranges, and AI infrastructure demand, especially for local models, should be insane in H2. Rosenblatt raised its target to $75. With a 26.3% implied move, a beat looks about 60% likely. x.com x.com
Penguin Solutions looks more like memory-cycle strength dressed up as an AI pivot story, and its price has already run ahead of that story. Its legacy AI factory business was concentrated in hyperscaler hardware, and the pivot to enterprise, neocloud and sovereign customers is a rebuild that the numbers do not show yet, with longer sales cycles and delayed bookings. The IP is good, and winning qualifications could change the view, but that needs a real shift first. x.com
Penguin Solutions is a $100 stock trading at $66 after a big beat and raise the market may be underreacting to. Q4 revenue rose 68% to $566.7M versus about $520M expected, non-GAAP EPS hit $1.00 versus $0.77, and Integrated Memory grew 158%. FY27 guidance rose to about $2.43B of revenue, up 40%, and $4.45 EPS. It won six AI infrastructure customers, including a neocloud picking Penguin for a 36,000-GPU Norway build. Operating cash flow was negative $163M as inventory and receivables rose. x.com … Show more
Penguin Solutions can earn years of operating revenue after deploying AI clusters, making its roughly 12x FY2027 guided adjusted earnings an interesting setup if it delivers projected 55% EPS growth and adds longer-term work. Management has discussed 3–5 year neocloud engagements; 12 AI infrastructure customers expanded in FY2026. Memory pricing, customer financing and deployment delays remain risks. x.com
Penguin Solutions is hurting shareholders by issuing more shares while insiders sell, bringing more dilution and fewer buybacks, a pattern repeating across AI companies. A large dilution sent the stock down nearly 15% after hours before a strong AI day lifted it back. x.com x.com
Penguin Solutions is growing fast on AI data center infrastructure and memory demand. Revenue grew 48% to $479M last quarter, integrated memory revenue jumped 111%, and AI-driven businesses made up 74% of sales. It raised fiscal 2026 guidance to 22% sales growth and $2.60 of adjusted EPS, and sees about 30% growth in both for fiscal 2027. x.com