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Deep-Tech Stock Research, ASIC Background at Synopsys

4 Sep, 23:28Latest

Energy Vault could earn a rerating as it pivots from battery producer to battery asset manager and independent power producer, the same model as Enlight Renewable Energy. It is a heavy loss-maker today, but after a few buildouts it could generate reliable earnings and cash flow within a few years that Wall Street can value easily. Energy Vault should own its market in the medium term, with a rough, finger-in-the-air target of $16, though patience may be needed until Democrats are in control. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com

NRGV

11 Aug, 21:04

Energy Vault is building an independent power producer, not just selling batteries, and its backlog dwarfs its $600M market cap. Revenue rose 104% with raised guidance, and backlog reached about $2B after adding $650M in one quarter, 60% of it recurring revenue from owned assets. Its largest contract, a 1.25 GW hyperscaler AI data center in Texas, brings $500-600M through 2027. Adjusted gross margin rose to 38.6%, and the owned fleet grew 476% to 1.1 GW toward a $180M recurring EBITDA target. x.com

NRGV

Dr J Rould

Full-Time Tech Investor, Quantum/Cybersecurity, Philosophy Background

10 Aug

NRGV

Energy Vault could be a 10x candidate if it keeps landing contracts: its contracted backlog is double its current market cap, which cuts against the view that it is an undifferentiated integrator in a race to the bottom. x.com x.com

mon

Independent Analyst, High-Risk Small-Cap & Growth Investing

22 Apr

NRGV

Energy Vault's shift to owning and operating storage assets turns lumpy project income into recurring revenue, while AI data centers open higher-value markets. Revenue rose over 340% to about $203M in 2025, with a first positive EBITDA quarter in Q4, and the backlog grew over 300% to about $1.3B. Its Crusoe partnership builds AI data-center power expected to earn 10-20x more EBITDA per MW than traditional storage. The key risk is converting backlog into cash flow without funding stress. x.com … Show more

Mark Sharogradsky

Managing Partner & CIO of Kepler Capital, Value Investing

28 May

ENLT

DORL.TA

NOFR.TA

Israeli renewable power developers Doral, Nofar Energy and Enlight Energy lack economic value to justify their prices, trading on promotional announcements like Solegreen's in 2020. No analyst has justified their valuations with numbers rather than claims about power demand; two top analysts said the prices can't be justified yet hold for exposure. As @dan_zafrir notes, presentations show consolidated EBITDA, not per-share earnings after tax partners, minorities, financing and depreciation. … Show more

Mind Investor

Technical Stock Analyst & Investment Educator

29 Sep

EOSE

Eos Energy's business is moving the opposite way from its stock, which is down roughly 85% from its highs and still priced like a different company. Q2 revenue rose 351% YoY, backlog is $807M, the commercial pipeline is $24.6B, and manufacturing capacity is heading toward 4 GWh. Technically the stock still has work to do before a real pivot, but the long-term target remains $20+. x.com

Danny Marques

Bitcoin/AI Investor Relations at OG Advisory Group, Research at Finblueprint

24 Jul

EOSE

Eos Energy looks like a great long-term entry below $4 as energy storage becomes part of the AI infrastructure buildout. Data centers need not only power but reliability, redundancy and grid flexibility. After a 27x run in 2024-2025, the stock is in a normal wave-2 correction, with a bottom likely in the 0.5-0.618 retracement zone and weekly bullish divergences forming, though it has not bottomed yet. It remains high risk: unprofitable, burning cash and facing execution concerns. x.com

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