The market is offering a shot at amazing businesses at low multiples: Intuit at 9x, Salesforce 10x, Meta 17x, Microsoft and Uber 20x, NVIDIA and Netflix 21x, Mastercard 24x and Amazon 25x. x.com
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Nvidia, Meta, Uber, Microsoft, Broadcom, ServiceNow, Visa, Mastercard and Amazon are better buys than the SpaceX IPO, because the market is pricing these quality businesses cheaply while investors are distracted. Forward P/Es are 16x for Nvidia, Meta and Uber, 20x for Microsoft, Broadcom and ServiceNow, 22x for Visa and Mastercard, and 24x for Amazon. x.com
Low forward earnings multiples across eleven stocks cannot persist indefinitely. Nvidia trades near 17.5x, its lowest in over a decade; Oracle near 15x, its lowest in six years. Uber is at 17x, Broadcom 19x, Vistra 15x, AppLovin 14.5x, TSMC 19x, Forgent Power Solutions 18x, Nokia 19.5x, American Express 17x and Western Digital 14x. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Quality and price favor these eight stocks. Amazon improves as its multiple falls; Uber generates serious cash flow; Netflix is more profitable at a lower multiple; ServiceNow grew amid multiple compression. SoFi's appeal hinges on earnings near management's long-term expectations. McDonald's ranks among the world's highest-quality businesses at one of its more reasonable valuations in years. AI disruption weighs on Adobe's valuation; Brookfield compounds assets at a comfortable long-term price. … Show more
Netflix's competition and valuation leave its risk/reward well behind other opportunities. It competes with Amazon, Disney, Apple and YouTube, while trading at about 20x next-twelve-month earnings for roughly 14% annual EPS growth over the next few years. It is mostly a great company, but these numbers do not make it a multibagger. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Cash generation and market values have diverged for these twelve beaten-down stocks. Over the long term, valuations tend to follow the cash businesses produce; the charts compare quarterly free cash flow with market capitalization for Uber, Netflix, Intuit, Adobe, PayPal, McDonald's, Snap, Duolingo, Chewy, Pinterest, Reddit and e.l.f. Beauty. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Nvidia's rising revenue alongside a much lower P/E is getting hard to ignore. Its chart shows quarterly revenue above $80 billion in Q2 2026 while the P/E is around 30x, down from much higher multiples in prior years. x.com
Netflix at 33x is too expensive for 16% revenue growth after an extremely ugly quarter. It missed its EPS guide and guided lower, is about to test short-form video, which says a lot about organic growth concerns, and its founder is leaving. By comparison, Nvidia trades at 22x growing 72% and Reddit at 21x growing 69%. x.com
Rapid revenue growth makes the capex bear case harder to justify for Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon. Their latest cited growth rates are 18%, 23%, 28% and 16% in Q2, respectively; their scale does not seem to be slowing them as expected. x.com
Growing businesses amid steep share declines make eight stocks generational buying opportunities. Nvidia guides toward over 70% growth in 2027 at 17.8x forward earnings, its cheapest valuation in a decade. Broadcom's AI chip revenue rose 221%; Amazon's backlog rose 154.4%; Oracle has $664B of backlog, half expected to convert within three years. Uber trips rose 18.3%, IREN AI cloud revenue rose 109.6%, Nokia AI and cloud sales rose 105%, and AppLovin exceeds 1B daily active users. x.com
Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta are not getting cheap; their multiples are sliding because separate monopolies are turning into one competitive market. They now spend enormous sums to sell the same AI to the same customers, funded largely by cyclical ads, on unproven returns. Microsoft faces AI eating per-seat licensing, Amazon fights in both retail and cloud, Alphabet's search premium is gone, and Meta keeps going all in for less. Markets can't price not knowing what a business will be. … Show more
Amazon looks cheap against its expected long-term earnings growth if that growth proves accurate. Its five-year consensus growth is the fastest in the Magnificent 7 after Nvidia, while its 0.90 forward P/E-to-growth ratio is the lowest excluding Nvidia. x.com x.com