Qualcomm looks undervalued among tech stocks given its opportunities in physical AI, CPUs and an emerging data-center market. x.comÂ
Dray
Finance Student, Stock Investor, Technology & Business
Qualcomm has little downside with Amazon having come in as an investor at around $160 a share. Investors give it almost no credit for AI, wearables, robotics and auto, and those businesses can do the heavy lifting to keep the stock steady next year. x.comÂ
Qualcomm could rerate from a handset chipmaker into an AI infrastructure story now that Amazon is co-developing multiple generations of inference silicon with it. As AI shifts toward stacks built around workloads, power and cost, Qualcomm need not beat Nvidia, only help optimize around the GPU. Amazon and Qualcomm are also working on 1.6T links using Qualcomm SerDes and optical DSPs, entering a space led by Broadcom and Marvell. Deployment volumes and further design wins would confirm it. x.comÂ
Qualcomm is not simply undervalued: as a pure chip designer it lacks both manufacturing and distribution to end developers, leaving it squeezed by the largest companies on earth. It sends designs to TSMC and has no vertical integration. Amazon, which has pricing power through AWS, is now using Qualcomm to design its next chip, pushing it to undercut Broadcom. Nvidia controls the CUDA developer ecosystem, so its designs will likely far outpace Qualcomm's. It could be wrong short term. x.comÂ
Qualcomm's data center option is not yet in the price, even after a 75% one-month rally that prices its edge AI story in smartphones, cars and glasses. Its AI200 and AI250 data center chips are going to a hyperscaler this year, taking Qualcomm directly into Nvidia's territory with more programmable chips, a point flagged by @KatieTarasov. x.comÂ
Qualcomm is shifting from a smartphone-dependent chipmaker to powering AI on every device, from cars and AI laptops to smart glasses, robotics and industrial edge computing. Automotive and IoT revenue grew 27% combined in FY2025, automotive now tops $1B a quarter with a $6B+ annualized target, and FY2025 non-GAAP EPS rose 18% to $12.03. Unlike many AI names it is already highly profitable, with a new $20B buyback, and could become one of semis' most overlooked AI compounders. x.comÂ
Apple dropping Qualcomm in favor of its own chips is a warning sign for Qualcomm. When Apple dumped Intel's chips, it marked five years of pain for Intel. Around $150 would be the right level to step in. x.comÂ
Qualcomm is still priced as a legacy modem stock while it builds a serious AI data center business. At 16x forward earnings it trades far below Broadcom, AMD and Nvidia. Per FundaAI research, it could ship about 1 million custom AI ASICs to a Chinese cloud provider by end-2026 at around $4,000 each, roughly $4 billion from one customer, with about 3 million server CPUs from 2027 and two US cloud providers in the pipeline; those figures remain estimates. x.comÂ
Qualcomm is about to have its time to shine as on-device AI drives growth. Its Snapdragon platforms bring high-performance, low-power computing to edge AI, and it is expanding beyond phones into cars, industrial and smart devices, backed by leadership in 5G, Wi-Fi and next-generation wireless. x.comÂ
Qualcomm is weak in its own capabilities while facing longer phone replacement cycles and pricier memory. Its other growth narratives are a very long way off. x.comÂ
Qualcomm's investor day strengthened the long case, as its CFO raised FY2029 non-handset revenue guidance 91% to $40B. Qualcomm disclosed major orders from two hyperscalers, said its Dragonfly C1000 data-center CPU launches in mid-2028 with Meta among the first customers, introduced the AI300 accelerator and data-center interconnect, and expects $6B of annualized automotive revenue in FY2026. It also agreed to buy AI software firm Modular for $3.9B. x.comÂ