Dr. Stoxx
Stock Trader & Author, Oxford DPhil, Trading Education
Cloudflare's chart is making higher highs and higher lows, consistent with strong whale accumulation now at 98.14%. x.comÂ
Cloudflare is one of the names leading this market and likely to lead the next leg higher, as an emerging leader in data inference and a core piece of internet DNS infrastructure. That positioning helped it avoid sustained weakness like its 81% drawdown in 2022 and 50% pullback in April 2025. With the market within 3% of all-time highs, there is little reason to bottom fish in names still down 50%+, though Cloudflare remains very expensive. x.com x.comÂ
Cloudflare's business outlook looks very bullish, but the stock needs to fall back below $200 before even a small position makes sense. Cloudflare sees a need for a payment processor that can handle millions or tens of millions of transactions per second to support microtransactions on the agentic web, and its recent fireside chat was very bullish. x.com x.comÂ
Cloudflare is trying to make its network the control layer for more internet and AI traffic, not sell one more point product. Its CDN already sits close to users and applications on a global edge, a natural place to add security, Zero Trust, developer compute and AI controls such as Workers AI. Q1 2026 supports this: revenue up 33.5%, $2.54B of RPO and 118% net retention. The case holds if consolidation keeps showing up in adoption; the main risks are valuation and execution. x.comÂ
Cloudflare is a key enabler of agentic AI and has been overly punished in the software selloff, setting up a 2026 re-rating. It supports OpenClaw, the self-hosted autonomous agent popular since February, as it shifts toward autonomous AI workflows. Paying customers rose 40%, yet only about 1% of 25 million websites pay, and it signed a landmark $130 million contract. Relative strength versus the software ETF and a 30%+ rally after washouts below the 200-day average point the same way. x.comÂ
Cloudflare at 38x NTM revenue and 150x NTM EBITDA is insane, so a decent return from here is unlikely even though it is the leader. That has never happened before without massive acceleration in growth rates and margin expansion. x.comÂ
Cloudflare shares should keep rising as AI-agent traffic lifts demand for edge compute: Oppenheimer reports rising contract values and Workers adoption, with stronger Bot Management and API Shield attachment, and expects Q3 to beat guidance. x.comÂ
Cloudflare looks attractive as more AI agents bring more traffic for it to route, secure and bill. Its recent dips have reversed, while the agent-driven traffic opportunity is the business case. x.comÂ
Cloudflare is the kind of name worth shorting: software stocks have been legitimately weak with moats in question, and some, like Cloudflare, still carry premium multiples. Cheap can get cheaper, as Duolingo fell from $520 to $250 and then to $90. Shorting hot momentum names like SanDisk or Applied Optoelectronics makes far less sense. x.com x.comÂ
Cloudflare's Q2 beat-and-raise shows growth holding above 35% as it becomes an AI-era platform for networking, security, edge computing and agent infrastructure. Revenue rose 36% to $696M versus $666M expected, current RPO grew 35%, and full-year revenue guidance rose again to $2.86-2.87B. Its CEO says traffic is shifting toward AI-to-AI and agent-to-agent interaction. Non-GAAP gross margin fell 320 bps to 73.1% and layoff charges drove a GAAP loss, but neither affects cash flow or guidance. … Show more