Robinhood's options positioning looks extremely bullish, with the gamma exposure heatmap pointing to $95-100 after earnings on the 28th, making this dip one to buy. x.comÂ
Cole
Momentum Stock & Options Trading, Public Trading Journal
Robinhood's $110 put wall now underpins the dip-buying area as the floor moves up. The new gamma map puts the call wall at $115; the first target is $120 by October 23. Exit on a daily close below $104.95 and before October 27 earnings. x.comÂ
Robinhood is oozing free cash flow despite the less favorable market. At 27x forward free cash flow, it is an undeniable bargain, and the stock is unlikely to get much cheaper. The near-term outlook is not particularly exciting, but risk appetite will return and investors will trade aggressively again; a crypto recovery would light a spark under the business. The $185 target by end-2027 remains. x.comÂ
Robinhood's earnings miss leaves its revenue vulnerable to a market correction. Revenue could shrink further if the market corrects; a better entry may emerge over the next six months, but that is not assured. x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing prediction markets, options and Gold subscriptions make the $90s one of the most exciting times to buy. Q3 event-contract revenue reached $173 million, up over sixfold, options rose 31% to $399 million, and Gold subscribers reached a record 5.2 million. Crypto revenue fell 55% year over year to $120 million, and Dr. Crossroads reported misses on revenue and EPS; Robinhood remains a great buy as its international reach and banking services expand. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's expansion into new markets and products supports a potential bounce as its shares revisit a repeatedly tested support line near $95. DFSA authorization permits a Dubai retail trading and custody launch in 2027; a Toronto headquarters expands its Canadian presence, while futures and Robinhood Agents broaden the platform. Bitcoin may dip before bouncing, so Robinhood exposure might be good here. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood looks expensive against its earnings at 42x trailing and 29x next year's, while brokerages usually get 12x. Fair value is $34.30 to $43.65, or 12x next year's $3.25 forecast EPS give or take 12%, putting the price 119% above fair. The valuation also leans on that forecast, with forward earnings 44% above trailing. This is a levels-only read from reported earnings and revenue estimates, not fundamental work. x.comÂ
Robinhood can reach $100 within 12 months, and $150 longer term, given its high profitability, very high margins and strong free cash flow. Like Visa, a $500 stock, it combines large share buybacks with low marginal costs. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing non-crypto businesses make its trading-app valuation look too low. Gold subscribers rose 34% to 5.2 million, platform assets reached $396 billion, and 14 business lines now each generate over $100 million annually. Overweight with a $115 target, despite a weak report: deposits fell to $15.7 billion from $22 billion and net interest income dropped 9% as rates declined. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's growth is almost entirely gambling: excluding prediction-market revenue, its top line was basically flat year over year, yet the stock trades at more than 50x earnings. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood could benefit from a crypto rebound if yields and oil/war concerns resolve and the midterms pass. It is starting to look interesting again under $100 and is the safest, more diversified way to play that move. x.comÂ