Cole
Momentum Stock & Options Trading, Public Trading Journal
Applied Digital is one of the best AI infrastructure setups for the next six to eight weeks, helped by a new long-term lease at Delta Forge 1. Its portfolio now totals $31B of contracted lease revenue, $73B including renewal options, and 1.2 GW of contracted capacity across four campuses. The stock just tagged its weekly 8-period moving average, under $40 is a gift, and $55 remains the eventual target. A whale bought a $110M-plus 2028 LEAP in December. x.com x.comÂ
Heavy AI-related borrowing with little to show for it is pressuring Oracle, IREN and Nebius shares. These stocks are beginning to trend lower. x.comÂ
Nebius's exceptional growth makes it the best way to gain data-center exposure while the AI-sector rally still has room to run after its pullback. The risk/reward looks super attractive here, but this is extremely risky compared with usual holdings and not necessarily a ten-year hold. x.comÂ
Strong AI demand and hyperscaler spending make the selloff a mid-cycle correction despite neocloud financing stress. Widening CCC spreads expose leveraged firms to higher borrowing costs; US competition with China supports AI buildout. The base case is a bottom in roughly 5-7 days, then stabilization and eventually a broader reversal, though some projects may fail and valuations compress. IREN, Cipher, Nebius, Applied Digital, Micron, AMD, ASML and Intel are worth gradually accumulating. x.comÂ
Long term, Nebius is an absolute scaling juggernaut and has earned best-in-class status among neoclouds. Short term, the AI correction is over and the shares are sitting on summer support. x.comÂ
The strongest neoclouds could gain market share and pricing power if weaker rivals fail, slowing new capacity growth while demand holds up. Elice's weak IPO reflects poor sentiment, not Nebius's fundamentals; if it is driving Nebius's selloff, the reaction is ridiculous. Hold the best operators building AI compute infrastructure. x.comÂ
Applied Digital's AI and high-performance computing data centers could expand substantially as demand grows. It is a high-risk upside bet: construction costs, financing needs and dependence on large customers could impede that expansion. x.comÂ
The AI stack's prolonged selloff may have already de-risked it ahead of Anthropic's IPO. The mid-November IPO could mark a bottom rather than trigger another sectorwide selloff like earlier mega-IPOs. Nebius, IREN and Cipher Mining do not look likely to fall much further; the same goes for Applied Optoelectronics and AXT. From June highs, Cipher is down about 73%, IREN 62%, Nebius 45% and WhiteFiber 78%. x.com x.comÂ
Companies benefiting from AI spending, such as Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Shopify and AppLovin, are the best way to stay invested with upside and limited downside for now. Ultra-volatile bottleneck names give whiplash, and that is unlikely to stop heading into the midterms and earnings season. Anthropic's delayed IPO and fears of companies slowing down, though unfounded, could become a narrative to stoke capex worries. Nebius is still the best neocloud and could go much higher. … Show more
Applied Digital's president reportedly bought 300,000 shares, a $5.66 million vote of confidence as the stock pulls back into the weekly Fibonacci buy zone. The chart marks a bullish turn only above $48.20. x.comÂ
Nebius looks attractive because active accumulation is clear despite a four-month decline of 40% from its all-time high. The correction may not be finished, but the buying volume supports accumulating through it. x.comÂ