SentinelOne is an often overlooked cybersecurity play that is nearly profitable and has two recent upgrades. Its chart shows a bullish scallop pattern, with the next move expected above 20.7. x.comÂ
Dr. Stoxx
Stock Trader & Author, Oxford DPhil, Trading Education
SentinelOne appears undervalued relative to its expected revenue growth. Analysts forecast 19.2% NTM revenue growth, versus 23.2% for CrowdStrike, which trades at a premium on forward EV/sales. x.comÂ
SentinelOne doesn't need to beat CrowdStrike to work, because cybersecurity is large enough for multiple winners and should keep growing as AI adds agents, cloud workloads and autonomous software that need protecting. It already has more than $1.2 billion of ARR, 20%-plus growth and improving margins. Its growth is the slowest of the group today, but if it remains a major security platform over the next decade, its current valuation leaves a lot of room. x.comÂ
SentinelOne should be growing far faster on about one-fifth of CrowdStrike's revenue, yet its growth keeps slowing. Revenue grew 20% versus CrowdStrike's 23%, billings growth slowed to 11.7%, $100k+ customer additions fell and retention slipped to 109% versus about 115% at CrowdStrike. The GAAP net loss widened to $110M, free cash flow is negative and net margin has not improved since 2024. SBC is 29% of revenue, the share count rose 4.2%, and buybacks make no sense with negative free cash flow. … Show more
CrowdStrike may distinguish itself from an expensive cybersecurity group by showing more breakneck growth at earnings next month. Fortinet's slowing product revenue exposed how much relentless execution investors had priced into the group's extreme multiples, pulling CrowdStrike down in sympathy. CrowdStrike remains in a higher tier than Fortinet, which itself ranks above SentinelOne. x.com x.comÂ
SentinelOne is an AI-native cybersecurity platform trading at only about 4x sales. Its Purple AI agentic security product addresses a real emerging market, and in the agentic AI era cybersecurity is infrastructure, not optional. x.comÂ
SentinelOne is a pathetic company because it still runs -23% GAAP margins at about $1B of ARR while growing roughly 20%. Comparable software companies grew 40%+ at that scale while losing less money on a GAAP basis. Per @Sam_Badawi, Q4 revenue rose 20% to $271.2M and ARR 22% to $1.12B, with FY2027 revenue guided to $1.195-1.205B. x.com x.com x.comÂ
SentinelOne's growth is solid and profits are starting to pour in, yet the stock trades at only 5x forward sales. It reported $56M of net new ARR, with total ARR of $1.218B, up 22% year over year. Matching CrowdStrike's net new ARR jump would have required about $65M; per @SergeyCYW, CrowdStrike added a record $333M, up 50.5%. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Cybersecurity, the best-performing part of software this year, can keep rising as AI safety concerns emerge. Okta is up 116% year to date, Fortinet 113%, Palo Alto Networks 104%, CrowdStrike 99%, Datadog 69%, Cloudflare 67%, F5 61% and SentinelOne 50%. Every one beat on both revenue and EPS last quarter and trades above major technical supports. x.comÂ
SentinelOne should be crushed because it offers the same sort of product as CrowdStrike, just worse, and CrowdStrike's flywheel keeps widening the moat between them. The open question is whether cybersecurity is a follow-the-leader market or supports multiple long-term winners, with niche players such as Rubrik and Zscaler and formidable ones such as Cloudflare and Palo Alto Networks. x.comÂ
SentinelOne is objectively one of the best cybersecurity software companies ever, and its incompetent management is why it trades at only 4x ARR. Few software companies ever reach $1B of ARR, fewer are still growing 20%+ at that scale, and fewer still can be bought at 4x ARR. Its -23% GAAP margin, raised by @davey_juice, is not great. x.com x.com x.comÂ