Pudgy Penguins' PENGU is one of the few memecoins with both retail distribution and real consumer IP. It is now tradable on Robinhood Chain, still has an ETF filing pending and keeps expanding its toy business beyond crypto. x.comÂ
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Altcoin & Memecoin Commentary
Pudgy Penguins' PENGU could be the cleanest memecoin play because it already has a brand, unlike coins that try to build one after pumping. Its toys sell in Target and Walmart alongside games, trading cards and comics, and Canary filed for a PENGU ETF, though that filing was withdrawn. PENGU is the liquid way to bet on the whole brand, as more toys and games bring recognition and attention to the token. The market is not yet pricing it as global consumer IP. x.comÂ
Pudgy Penguins is likely the breakout meme of this cycle and the biggest sleeper on the meme side, because the Pengu brand does $10-20+ million of ARR and is growing. Trench traders are underallocated because they don't understand how to hold the best coins long term. Conviction in founder Luca Netz is unchanged since the early NFT and Igloo days: no second best, and a hold for life. x.comÂ
Pudgy Penguins is fast becoming the most recognizable IP in crypto, and PENGU should be one of the hardest runners entering the next bull market. Its reach runs from Target and Walmart down to tea: per Pudgy Penguins, it is entering beverages with two themed bubble teas in every Kung Fu Tea nationwide. x.comÂ
PENGU has been hibernating long enough, and its reach plus the combined NFT and memecoin narrative make for an explosive combination. The Pudgy Penguins token has 130+ exchange listings across 6+ chains, with hundreds of millions of daily users in reach. x.comÂ
Pudgy Penguins' token could become this cycle's version of DOGE or SHIB, and its chart suggests it bottomed in July. It held up better against bitcoin then, reaccumulated in a range, flipped its 21 EMA from resistance into support and printed its first higher high and higher low. With the trend neutral to bullish, the first swing target is filling the gap created after October 10, then the all-time high zone of 0.070-0.10, with a macro target of 0.30-0.40+ over the coming years. x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing prediction markets, options and Gold subscriptions make the $90s one of the most exciting times to buy. Q3 event-contract revenue reached $173 million, up over sixfold, options rose 31% to $399 million, and Gold subscribers reached a record 5.2 million. Crypto revenue fell 55% year over year to $120 million, and Dr. Crossroads reported misses on revenue and EPS; Robinhood remains a great buy as its international reach and banking services expand. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood is oozing free cash flow despite the less favorable market. At 27x forward free cash flow, it is an undeniable bargain, and the stock is unlikely to get much cheaper. The near-term outlook is not particularly exciting, but risk appetite will return and investors will trade aggressively again; a crypto recovery would light a spark under the business. The $185 target by end-2027 remains. x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing non-crypto businesses make its trading-app valuation look too low. Gold subscribers rose 34% to 5.2 million, platform assets reached $396 billion, and 14 business lines now each generate over $100 million annually. Overweight with a $115 target, despite a weak report: deposits fell to $15.7 billion from $22 billion and net interest income dropped 9% as rates declined. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's position as the first true institution to come on-chain may give it staying power beyond a hype cycle. Hype cycles come and go, but it is too early to count Robinhood out; its presence is unlikely to disappear over the long term. x.comÂ
US regulated perps could be one of the most profitable narratives in the next six months as a mostly offshore market opens to US retail. Robinhood has a large retail base; Coinbase has Deribit liquidity and seeks stock perps. Hyperliquid could gain from sector validation despite competition. Lighter has Robinhood Wallet integration; Robinhood Chain uses Arbitrum's stack under a deal designed to send part of protocol revenue to its ecosystem. Regulation and token value capture remain uncertain. … Show more
Robinhood's onchain business is growing fast, and insuring its onchain yield makes DeFi safer for new users. Per Robinhood Earn's Hillary Skeffington, Robinhood backstopped onchain yield with a Lloyd's of London policy, one of the largest active onchain insurance products in the industry, which shields users from risks like smart-contract hacks. Robinhood Chain is posting insane growth, and per Robinhood's Nicola White, it is introducing what it calls the first true US perps offering. x.com … Show more