Robinhood will become a hot cake if it keeps growing like this. Per @renksieth, Bernstein kept its $160 target, about 78% upside, citing Robinhood Chain passing $12B in DEX volume and continued growth in prediction markets. x.comÂ
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On-Chain Crypto & DeFi Research, Alpha Threads
Robinhood's onchain business is growing fast, and insuring its onchain yield makes DeFi safer for new users. Per Robinhood Earn's Hillary Skeffington, Robinhood backstopped onchain yield with a Lloyd's of London policy, one of the largest active onchain insurance products in the industry, which shields users from risks like smart-contract hacks. Robinhood Chain is posting insane growth, and per Robinhood's Nicola White, it is introducing what it calls the first true US perps offering. x.com … Show more
Robinhood's position as the first true institution to come on-chain may give it staying power beyond a hype cycle. Hype cycles come and go, but it is too early to count Robinhood out; its presence is unlikely to disappear over the long term. x.comÂ
Robinhood's earnings miss leaves its revenue vulnerable to a market correction. Revenue could shrink further if the market corrects; a better entry may emerge over the next six months, but that is not assured. x.comÂ
Robinhood's record revenue and growing prediction-markets business support a near-term recovery in its stock after earnings. Q3 revenue reached $1.42B, crypto revenue of $120M beat the $114.1M estimate, and prediction-markets revenue rose sixfold year over year, though GAAP EPS missed at $0.51 versus $0.55. CEO Vlad Tenev said Robinhood plans to ramp support for Chain builders, bolstering the case for more ecosystem growth. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's expansion into new markets and products supports a potential bounce as its shares revisit a repeatedly tested support line near $95. DFSA authorization permits a Dubai retail trading and custody launch in 2027; a Toronto headquarters expands its Canadian presence, while futures and Robinhood Agents broaden the platform. Bitcoin may dip before bouncing, so Robinhood exposure might be good here. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's growth looks more reliant on wallet share and the market backdrop because customer and active-user growth are weak. Revenue rose 12%, accounts 7% year over year, and net new funded accounts slowed one quarter after acquisition was re-prioritized; adjusted EPS growth unexpectedly turned negative. New customers grew at a mid-single-digit rate and monthly active users fell. MAU is volatile, but needs to improve next quarter. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood Chain broke because its volume went parabolic, a very bullish sign of demand for the chain. x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing non-crypto businesses make its trading-app valuation look too low. Gold subscribers rose 34% to 5.2 million, platform assets reached $396 billion, and 14 business lines now each generate over $100 million annually. Overweight with a $115 target, despite a weak report: deposits fell to $15.7 billion from $22 billion and net interest income dropped 9% as rates declined. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's growth is almost entirely gambling: excluding prediction-market revenue, its top line was basically flat year over year, yet the stock trades at more than 50x earnings. x.com x.comÂ
Robinhood's growing prediction markets, options and Gold subscriptions make the $90s one of the most exciting times to buy. Q3 event-contract revenue reached $173 million, up over sixfold, options rose 31% to $399 million, and Gold subscribers reached a record 5.2 million. Crypto revenue fell 55% year over year to $120 million, and Dr. Crossroads reported misses on revenue and EPS; Robinhood remains a great buy as its international reach and banking services expand. x.com x.com x.comÂ