Ether's price is falling while open interest rises, meaning leverage is building into the dump, a setup that tends to end badly for longs. x.comÂ
Rekt Fencer
Founder of X DAO, Crypto Trading Guides
Ethereum faces slightly higher near-term selling risk as net inflows raise Binance's sellable ETH supply. Some 55,471 ETH entered and 47,596 left, net 7,875, though both flows have slowed. If inflows persist this week with ETF outflows and high US Treasury yields, pressure could grow around the Fed decision. Rising cumulative ETH 2.0 transactions bode well for network use, not direct demand or relief today. Losing $2,280-2,300 adds downside risk; recovery needs flow and price confirmation. x.comÂ
Bitcoin keeps falling and Ether even more so because liquidity is being sought and there is distress in the system. Strategy is a target for put options. x.comÂ
Ethereum's upside looks worth the bet because the payoff to its prior high is much larger than the downside, and buyers still respond to good news. There is roughly 16% down to $1,950 versus a little over 2x back to the prior all-time high. LIT caught a sharp bid around its US regulatory plans, and CHIP rallied 40% around a $1 million buyback; that response looks like a bull-market sign. x.comÂ
Ethereum faces further downside as smart money sells into strength during distribution. A move toward $2,070 comes first; a break there puts $1,800 in view, with a possible local bottom near $1,600-$1,700 where liquidity sits. Until that sweep, bounces are for selling; a real reversal comes only afterward. x.comÂ
Ethereum looks likely to move down toward a major liquidity cluster around $2,615, since there is very little liquidity above. x.comÂ
Bitcoin and Ethereum's pullback is a nothing burger meant to shake people out, and this phase will lead to the next breakout higher. Bears are doubling down on shorts, with open interest rising while funding rates have turned negative. x.comÂ
Ether faces selling pressure as a lot of ETH from a potential hack of Bitget, reportedly over $100M on-chain, gets ready to be sold and laundered. x.comÂ
Ethereum's strong ecosystem is not translating into enough ETH value capture to support significant appreciation unless that changes. The Ethereum Foundation selling ETH again is frustrating; buybacks and stronger incentives for L2s to accumulate and buy back ETH could improve the token's economics. Fundstrat, which owns roughly 5% of the supply, has a huge opportunity to push for better value capture. x.com x.comÂ
Bitfinex whales are opening Ethereum longs at a pace seen only once before, in 2020 ahead of a 12x rally. Retail remains fearful around $2,300, but that positioning points to a rally. x.comÂ
Ethereum faces selling pressure because BlackRock's reported ETH sales suggest a major holder is exiting while others keep buying. BlackRock reportedly started selling Ethereum today, with more than $100 million sold; the broader crypto selling looks anomalous. x.comÂ