Fundamental Investor
Fund Manager
Walmart's 43.28x earnings multiple makes the stock impossible to buy for a long time. Its historical median is 31.13x, and even at 30x it would not be attractive. x.comÂ
Walmart's valuation is too high for a grocery and household retailer. At about 36 times next year's earnings, it exceeds its five-year norm of 25 and the roughly 20 times this business should command; Target trades near 16 times. Stay away from Walmart here. x.comÂ
Walmart may be setting up for a big bounce, with its pullback matching the pattern of its last two bottoms. The stock is down about 25% from its all-time high, as it was before both prior bottoms, which also showed RSI divergence. Its forward P/E has fallen from near 40 earlier this year to a more respectable 31, and it is holding just above the psychological $100 level near a prior breakout area. x.comÂ
Walmart still trades at 44 times earnings even as it heads for its worst day since 2023. Per @StockSavvyShay, the drop came after Walmart warned that US consumers are feeling pressure and that persistent cost pressures could bring somewhat higher retail price inflation in Q2 and the second half. x.com x.comÂ
Walmart is a great company at a terrible price, trading near 38 times forward earnings while growth slows. Revenue and EPS beat, yet US comparable sales growth slowed to 2.6%, the weakest in six years, and the stock fell. Even after another 10% drop, it is not worth buying. x.comÂ
Walmart has the strongest fundamentals in retail, with $725B+ of revenue, exploding e-commerce and market-share gains while rivals bleed. It is a defensive cash-printing machine in a shaky economy, and analysts rate it a moderate buy with $140+ targets. x.comÂ
Walmart does not deserve 40x forward earnings, especially with comparable sales growth at its slowest in over six years. Per @negligible_cap, the stock fell 6% on decelerating comps and could eventually have a Target- or Nike-style moment as investors realize it can't hold that multiple forever. x.com x.comÂ
Walmart is arguably more exposed than its safe-haven history suggests, because its edge rests on competing with Amazon, and doing that clearly will require far more capital. Historically it has been a place to hide, but that does not mean owning or shorting it; it is simply a stock to avoid. x.com x.comÂ
Walmart and Costco should gain as soaring diesel costs push consumers to trade down. Diesel is up 35% in 40 days and moves the trucks that stock every US shelf, and though America produces about as much oil as it uses, oil trades globally, so Europe's shortage hits US prices. Retailers must raise prices and lose volume or absorb costs and miss guidance. Discounters are big enough to absorb the shock and win trade-down shoppers; packaged food, staples and restaurants look best avoided. x.com … Show more
Walmart is being pumped like a new dot-com company, but its high P/E will need to be matched by revenue growth, which investors will soon realize. x.comÂ