Natural gas is the real Middle East time bomb, not oil: Iran's retaliation knocked out 17% of Qatar's LNG capacity for three to five years. LNG terminals are costly and take years to rebuild, and producers are far fewer than in oil. Japan, South Korea, China and much of Europe rely on LNG imports for inelastic heating, and European stocks are at historic lows. If Hormuz stays shut or more Qatari plants are hit, buyers turn to the US, the top exporter, and Cheniere; prices could go vertical. x.com