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Position Trader, Market Leaders, Fundamental/Technical Analysis
Amazon's AWS, advertising and AI-chip growth make it a potential Mag 7 catch-up name. AWS is up 37% year over year, advertising 26%, and the AI chip business is at a $25B-plus annualized run rate. It is one of the few Mag 7 stocks that has not made a significant move in quite some time. x.comÂ
Amazon's record AI spending looks backed by AWS demand, despite pressure on near-term profit. AWS grew 39% to $46bn, and CEO Andy Jassy projects growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. Quarterly capex reached $77.3bn, almost $20bn above expectations; the Q4 profit guide missed and retail ads softened. AWS acceleration makes the drop worth buying. Overweight; $370 target. x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's AWS growth remains strong despite slight earnings misses. AWS revenue rose 39% year over year in Q3. Increased 2027 capex could still weigh on the shares in the short term, even if demand continues to rise. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's unusual long-term AWS guidance looks desperate and leaves its stock looking dead. @P_Remarks says Amazon normally avoids long-term guidance and speculates that its projection of over 40% AWS revenue growth in both 2027 and 2028 was a Hail Mary to offset a quarter weak relative to expectations. x.comÂ
AWS's rapid growth in a huge business makes the long-term outlook decisively bullish for Amazon and the AI ecosystem. AWS revenue grew 39.3% year over year in September 2026; management guides for growth above 40% in 2027 and 2028. Amazon is always very conservative with guidance, making that AI outlook doubly bullish. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's AWS growth still drives its valuation, making the post-earnings decline look temporary despite misses elsewhere. AWS grew 39% to $46 billion, above the $45.4 billion expected; Jassy sees growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. Earnings, advertising and Q4 sales guidance missed expectations, while trailing free cash flow was negative $42.4 billion. x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's negative free cash flow and far-off AWS guidance add to its investment risk. Free cash flow is -$42 billion. True_yes_man describes Jassy extrapolating fourth-quarter AWS revenue at 40% growth for five years. That guide cannot be taken seriously; it resembles the Tesla and Nvidia playbook of projecting years ahead to support the market into the midterms, then recalibrating later. x.com x.comÂ
Amazon offers one of the best risk-reward setups in the Magnificent 7 as it becomes one of the world's biggest AI, cloud and advertising companies. AWS Q2 revenue rose 37% to $42.2B, its fastest growth in 18 quarters, with a 39% operating margin and a $496B backlog. AI chips and services top a $25B run rate, advertising grew 26% to $19.8B, and e-commerce margins are expanding. At 20x trailing earnings it looks very cheap; consensus targets sit near $330, and $500 is the longer-term setup. x.comÂ
Alphabet's core Search growth is slowing while AI spending surges, making the selloff look deserved despite fast Cloud growth. Search growth fell from 19% to 17% to 12% over three quarters; Search now represents just under half of revenue. The stock could fall to $250, though Amazon is the preferred buy. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's weak retail growth has shaken the earlier buy case. Online-store sales rose just 2% year over year, and the retail numbers look so poor that it is no longer clear at what price the shares are a buy. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Amazon's AWS acceleration is beginning to support the case for its heavy AI investment cycle. Q3 AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46B and operating income rose 55% to $17.8B; company operating margin hit a record 13.9%. Andy Jassy says Prime Video generates tens of billions in annualized revenue and is independently profitable. The EPS miss, slower 11% ad growth and roughly $220B of 2026 capex remain worth watching, but the long-term view stays extremely bullish. x.comÂ
