Wey How
Thematic Position Trader, Technology Stocks & Trend Following
The Tema Photonics & Optical ETF is the best way to own photonics, better than EUV and FOTO, as the only truly actively managed, institutional-quality photonics ETF. Its top holdings are Lumentum, AXT and Aixtron, and Tema partnered with SemiAnalysis to deliver pure-play exposure to leading-edge photonics and optics, a critical path in the AI buildout. Wall Street analysts see a $60 price target, 50% upside over 12 months. x.comÂ
LYTE, a newly launched photonics ETF, is worth owning as a more targeted photonics play than the EUV ETF. Its top holdings are Sivers Semiconductors, Applied Optoelectronics, Lumentum and Coherent. x.comÂ
Defiance's photonics ETF is a good tracker for photonics because it covers the whole supply chain, from indium phosphide to equipment, lasers and modules. Its top holdings fit: Lumentum is the best InP laser maker, AXT benefits as the InP shortage worsens, and Aixtron makes the MOCVD machines that produce lasers. Recent earnings showed the sector sold out, with long-term agreements removing cyclicality. Rival ETFs focus too narrowly on transceivers, so this suits a set-and-forget approach. x.com … Show more
The photonics-as-AI-bottleneck claim has faded, leaving Lumentum facing more pain before the theme recovers. A large December options node sits at $600; the stock bot targets downside at $650 and $595, with $581 a possible liquidity sweep where smart money would buy instead of rushing in at $650 or $630. Most photonics companies will likely never come back. x.comÂ
Optical component stocks such as Lumentum, Coherent, Applied Optoelectronics and AXT look early in an unwind, as a wave of new photonics paid newsletters signals a crowded narrative. Price pays; narratives do not. x.comÂ
The Roundhill Memory ETF looks vulnerable because its late launch fits the pattern of Wall Street selling hot themes to the public shortly before they top. DRAM was a monster trade of 2026 in April and May, led by Sandisk and Micron. It topped two months after debut and is rolling into Stage 4 against its 10-week EMA; the similarly late-launched FOTO photonics ETF topped in just two weeks. x.comÂ
Photonics stocks look like a crowded rotation rather than a better bet than memory. Photonics has a smaller addressable market than memory and moves with it anyway. Buyers are driven by recency bias after Applied Optoelectronics' 90% recovery, traders liquidated in memory seeking higher-risk bets, and smaller companies with higher multiples. @therogueoracle adds that these stocks had massive runs and have not pulled back nearly enough, so they are more likely to chop sideways and down. x.com … Show more
The LYTE ETF offers pure-play exposure to global photonics and optics leaders, with Coherent and Lumentum as its top holdings. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has said the world needs substantially more silicon photonics capacity than it has today, explaining Nvidia's $4B investment in Lumentum and Coherent. x.com x.comÂ
Photonics stocks such as Coherent, Lumentum, Corning, Applied Optoelectronics and Ciena are priced on unknown future demand rather than current results. Lumentum's revenue has been flat, yet projections for the year ending June 2029 call for $12.8 billion, over 4x this year's $2.96 billion. That is great if true, but a lot can happen before then, especially any disruption to the data-center buildout boom. x.comÂ
Photonics stocks remain attractive as AI optical-component demand exceeds supply: Lumentum's CEO says the company cannot meet 70% of demand for some products through 2027 or 30% for others through 2028, with some components sold out into early 2029. The cited basket is LITE, MRVL, AAOI, COHR, SIVE and AEHR. x.comÂ