Intuitive Machines could very likely reach a $10B market cap within three to five years if its Near Space Network succeeds. Much depends on the Near Space Network and its lunar build. x.com
RocketMan
Space Investor, Rocket Lab Focus
Intuitive Machines' new satellite communications program is a big deal. Per @SpaceInvestor_D, an undisclosed customer authorized it to begin a multi-satellite communications infrastructure program expected to be worth more than $600 million, using its IM 1300 platform to design, build, integrate and support multiple spacecraft. x.com
Artemis should be a huge driver of Intuitive Machines' growth over the next five years, and at a $2B market cap it feels like early Rocket Lab at $2B. Per Stifel, which upgraded it to Buy, backlog jumped $707M to $1.76B on a 4.5x book-to-bill, led by a $600M+ commercial GEO satellite award. Q2 revenue rose 310% to $206M, and FY26 guidance of $900M-$1B with positive EBITDA was reaffirmed. x.com
Intuitive Machines is becoming the FedEx of the Moon, a lunar infrastructure company quietly turning into a defense contractor. NASA awarded it $180.4 million to deliver seven payloads to the lunar South Pole by 2030, and its $800 million Lanteris deal shifts the mix to about 40% commercial, 40% civil and 20% national security. It guides to $900 million-$1 billion of 2026 revenue, nearly 5x 2025, two-thirds already contracted. At over $5 billion, it will be volatile as the SpaceX IPO looms. … Show more
Space demand remains strong, but setups are uneven. Commercial and government demand is accelerating, making space strategic for decades. Voyager and Redwire have very strong setups, though a Redwire retest is worth waiting for; Rocket Lab reclaimed its two-year trendline after great earnings but must still confirm. AST SpaceMobile failed to reclaim its weekly 50-period average despite great earnings and now faces it as resistance, a poor risk/reward; Firefly and Intuitive Machines look bad. … Show more
Space stocks can create generational wealth this year, and five of them can 10x. AST SpaceMobile has its direct-to-phone constellation and AT&T and Verizon deals; Rocket Lab has Electron launches, Neutron and a space-systems backlog; Firefly Aerospace has Alpha and Eclipse rockets and the Blue Ghost lander; SpaceX has Starship, Falcon, Starlink and AI compute; Intuitive Machines has NASA lunar landers and an infrastructure pipeline. All five grew trailing revenue 53% to 2,257%. x.com x.com
Intuitive Machines is shifting from one-time lunar deliveries to high-margin recurring revenue, which matters more than the near-term pressure from capital rotating into SpaceX's IPO. Its Q1 backlog hit a record $1.1B, giving high visibility on 2026 revenue guidance of $900M-$1B. Its NASA Near Space Network work could make lunar missions pay to use its relay network, and the Goonhilly deal adds 44+ deep-space antennas. Short interest at 26.5% of float could fuel a squeeze on contract wins. x.com
Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile and Intuitive Machines are priced as if they had already colonized the solar system, so they look headed one way once the hype rally ends. Together they carry an $82 billion market cap on $883 million of revenue and no profits, while burning cash heavily. Reusable rockets are a cost-reduction story rather than a giant leap. Their long-term potential may be real, but that future is 20-30 years out and does not justify today's valuations. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Intuitive Machines has become a vertically integrated space prime after its January Lanteris acquisition, no longer a binary bet on lunar landers. Lanteris gives it the industrial base to compete for Tier 1 defense contracts with Lockheed and Northrop at a leaner cost. Building hardware in-house captures the full value chain of the $4.8 billion NSNS contract and should lift margins as it shifts to recurring data services. Proof that this speeds NSNS should erase the lunar-specialist discount. … Show more
Intuitive Machines is a home-run pick backed by in-depth research shared with subscribers just over a week earlier. x.com
Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, Firefly, Intuitive Machines, Redwire and SpaceX are too risky to buy at today's valuations, given the potential for a cascade decline. Index-inclusion buying may keep SpaceX and sympathy names bid for months, but in another growth bear market like 2021's aftermath they could fall hard and recover slowly even if the businesses execute, and SpaceX may eventually crash the party. They remain liked, just not worth adding; Northrop Grumman is the preferred space stock. … Show more
Intuitive Machines' Space Systems segment remains underrated, and a new deal shows it. An undisclosed customer authorized work on a multi-satellite communications infrastructure program expected to be worth over $600 million, using its IM-1300 satellite platform to design, build and support multiple spacecraft. The stock still looks relatively cheap. x.com x.com x.com