Dan Ives
Technology Analyst & Partner at Yorkville Ives
Anthropic's IPO is a watershed event for US tech, and the AI buildout behind it is still only in its third inning. About $4 to $5 trillion will be spent in the next three to four years, akin to building the Vegas Strip in 1955, and data center use cases are early days. Anthropic's customer concentration is not much of an issue, since the buildout starts small and expands, and its listing is healthy for tech. Investors still need to separate talk from action on returns. api.omny.fmÂ
Dell is the best AI infrastructure integrator, and HPE could do well too, with an AI backlog of about $6B after a decent pullback. x.comÂ
Enterprise and neocloud demand is creating a second wave of AI infrastructure spending, with tailwinds for Nvidia and Super Micro. Dell forecasts 200 GW of AI data center growth through 2030, half driven by these customers, and estimates a $1 trillion AI infrastructure opportunity over the next four years. AI servers could enter a new growth phase in 2027, with higher shipment volumes and more revenue per deployment. x.comÂ
Dell and HPE are priced on an AI-server story rather than their businesses. Like HP Inc., which just posted weak results on rising memory costs and thinner PC margins, they are cyclical hardware companies dependent on enterprise capex, yet their shares diverged only because of the AI-server label. Data center demand is real, but the premium has run far ahead of it. Such pricing can last long in a liquid, risk-on market, as in 1999 and 2021, so a drop is not imminent. x.comÂ
Dell should benefit from AI data-center construction because builders say almost every new facility runs on Dell or Super Micro servers. Sales rose 49% in the past year to $151B; Dell is 18% below its high and is an easy double from here. x.comÂ
AI infrastructure bottlenecks could give eight stocks as much as 18x upside. Nvidia supplies frontier-model GPUs; Broadcom and Marvell supply custom silicon and networking; TSMC makes advanced chips; Micron supplies sold-out HBM; Vertiv provides power and cooling; Palantir monetizes enterprise AI; Alphabet spans TPUs, research, cloud and apps. The list tracks where AI infrastructure spending is flowing. x.com x.comÂ
Dell is a fair business at a fair price, but there are better uses of capital at this stage of the AI buildout. Value flows to whoever solves the hardest physics, the chips and memory, not the chassis; Dell's growth comes from repackaging NVIDIA hardware for a small margin, so its margin is set by others' scarcity. Its supply chain, lack of foundry or capex exposure, cheap valuation and shareholder-focused management make it the lower-risk AI infrastructure seat, with capped margins the price. … Show more
Dell is positioned at the forefront of a multi-hundred-billion-dollar AI infrastructure opportunity with one of the industry's most complete end-to-end offerings, from servers, storage and networking to enterprise software. AI server orders in its ISG infrastructure business are accelerating, partnerships with Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom have deepened, and global enterprise and government procurement has improved order visibility. Its long-term compounding potential could be substantial. x.comÂ
Dell sits in the layer that turns GPUs into working AI factories, so it wins as AI demand moves from model headlines into installed infrastructure. AI server revenue rose 757% to $16.1B, Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue rose 181% to $29B, and total revenue grew 88% to $43.8B. Dell booked $24.4B of AI orders and raised its FY27 AI server revenue target to about $60B. GPUs still need server design, integration, networking, storage, cooling and deployment. x.comÂ
Dell Technologies is turning into one of the biggest AI infrastructure plays in the market, no longer just a PC company. It has massive AI server demand, NVIDIA partnerships and a record AI backlog, while governments race to build sovereign AI and enterprise AI capex accelerates. Trump is now publicly telling Americans to buy Dell, and his AI agenda centers on data centers and compute, with Dell in the middle of that trade. When he did the same with Intel, Intel rose 500%. x.comÂ
Dell and HPE benefit as enterprises accelerate capital spending on AI-ready infrastructure, a near-term tailwind for traditional server vendors. Sustained demand for compute and storage capacity supports both companies' hardware and systems businesses and is driving IT hardware outperformance. x.comÂ