Oracle's troubles will not hurt Bloom Energy's results, because with supply this short Bloom is little affected by demand. Its products can generate power as soon as they are installed, which gives them commodity-like appeal. x.comÂ
Herman Jin
Formerly in Asia FICC at Goldman Sachs, Macro & Semiconductor Investing
Bloom Energy has a better investor-confidence setup than neoclouds for exposure to AI's compute and energy needs. If compute remains insufficient to power AI growth, Bloom is likely to do better than a neocloud basket. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy solves power-development bottlenecks, a reason to own its shares. Object Zero lists land, permits, grid access, equipment, fuel security and community political power among the constraints, and says the remaining development sites keep getting worse. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's demand may not become revenue when customers struggle to secure financing. Capital is difficult to raise in this climate; a reading of management's AI discussion also points to permitting, local opposition and customer credit as obstacles despite robust demand. Even after good earnings, the shares did not look very bullish. x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy alone can solve the electricity shortage for now. That warrants a high P/E, and its growth should be even stronger than the market expects. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy is turning AI data centers' need to buy time-to-power into revenue, since fuel cells produce power far sooner than grid hookups or turbines. Median US interconnection-to-operation times exceed five years, per Berkeley Lab, and turbine order books stretch years, while Bloom says its systems can be ready in as little as 90 days. Q2 2026 revenue crossed $1 billion for the first time, up 165.5%, with gross margin up to 33.4%. Oracle has contracted 1.2GW of up to 2.8GW. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's exposure to a possible 1-2 year delay at Oracle's Project Jupiter does not seem priced in at all. The Stargate behind-the-meter data center in New Mexico, which plans to use Bloom's fuel cells, faces permitting and pipeline-building blockers, as reported earlier this week. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy is relatively insulated from local opposition to data centers. It has already won big emergency orders driven by NIMBY resistance, including from Oracle. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy addresses the most urgent data center power bottleneck, time-to-power, by bringing new data centers online faster with on-site, behind-the-meter fuel cells; it is a top pick for 2026. Its expanded Oracle agreement covers up to 2.8GW of fuel cells for Oracle's data centers, with 1.2GW initially contracted. Per Bloom, the deal shows it can deliver the fast, load-following power AI workloads need, which traditional grids were not designed to provide. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's valuation is silly because it still has no real earnings despite great results. It has no GAAP earnings and no free cash flow excluding stock-based compensation. Demand is off the charts, Oracle validated its technology and it seems to be in pole position, but the economics are unimpressive given all that demand. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy could look cheap if it hits its revenue targets amid exploding demand for on-site power. Revenue is projected at $4.5B in 2026 and $16B by 2029, implying 3.5x 2029 sales at a $56B market cap. It ranks alongside Forgent Power Solutions, perhaps better, as a buy at current levels. x.com x.comÂ