Bloom Energy is relatively insulated from local opposition to data centers. It has already won big emergency orders driven by NIMBY resistance, including from Oracle. x.comÂ
Diamond Rapids
Semiconductor & Geopolitical Equity Commentary
Bloom Energy solves power-development bottlenecks, a reason to own its shares. Object Zero lists land, permits, grid access, equipment, fuel security and community political power among the constraints, and says the remaining development sites keep getting worse. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy has a better investor-confidence setup than neoclouds for exposure to AI's compute and energy needs. If compute remains insufficient to power AI growth, Bloom is likely to do better than a neocloud basket. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's exposure to a possible 1-2 year delay at Oracle's Project Jupiter does not seem priced in at all. The Stargate behind-the-meter data center in New Mexico, which plans to use Bloom's fuel cells, faces permitting and pipeline-building blockers, as reported earlier this week. x.comÂ
Oracle's troubles will not hurt Bloom Energy's results, because with supply this short Bloom is little affected by demand. Its products can generate power as soon as they are installed, which gives them commodity-like appeal. x.comÂ
Jan Zuazo Pfingsten
Thematic Investor, Physical Scarcity & AI Infrastructure, Primary-Source Research
Bloom Energy's fast on-site generation could earn a premium by shortening the wait for AI compute. Anthropic's S-1 says it may buy generation equipment above prevailing market rates if it can be deployed faster. Some planned Anthropic data centers rely on dedicated on-site gas generation, and it has committed to cover consumer power-price increases they cause. Bloom's pitch is power in months rather than years waiting for the grid. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's demand may not become revenue when customers struggle to secure financing. Capital is difficult to raise in this climate; a reading of management's AI discussion also points to permitting, local opposition and customer credit as obstacles despite robust demand. Even after good earnings, the shares did not look very bullish. x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy has a power moat because AI needs enormous amounts of electricity and the grid cannot keep up. Bloom can bring power directly to data centers without waiting years for grid capacity. Nancy Pelosi has also disclosed up to $12M of purchases in the stock. x.comÂ
Bloom Energy could look cheap if it hits its revenue targets amid exploding demand for on-site power. Revenue is projected at $4.5B in 2026 and $16B by 2029, implying 3.5x 2029 sales at a $56B market cap. It ranks alongside Forgent Power Solutions, perhaps better, as a buy at current levels. x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy's valuation is silly because it still has no real earnings despite great results. It has no GAAP earnings and no free cash flow excluding stock-based compensation. Demand is off the charts, Oracle validated its technology and it seems to be in pole position, but the economics are unimpressive given all that demand. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bloom Energy addresses the most urgent data center power bottleneck, time-to-power, by bringing new data centers online faster with on-site, behind-the-meter fuel cells; it is a top pick for 2026. Its expanded Oracle agreement covers up to 2.8GW of fuel cells for Oracle's data centers, with 1.2GW initially contracted. Per Bloom, the deal shows it can deliver the fast, load-following power AI workloads need, which traditional grids were not designed to provide. x.comÂ