Microchip's new quantum-safe cybersecurity chips, launched in late April, could bring major deals as US CNSA 2.0 rules require quantum-safe security in new defense and national-security systems from January 2027. Microchip is deeply embedded there; its CEO says it is in every offensive and defensive US weapon. Its 100k+ customers in industrial, data center, auto and communications will likely adopt too. No deals are announced yet, but record buy volume makes it a top stock to accumulate. x.com  … Show more

SEALSQ looks cheap against its sales at $2.23, trading at 3x sales and 2x next year's, versus the 6x chipmakers usually get. That puts it 17% below a fair range of $2.69 to $3.43, and it only looks expensive above $3.95. The levels come from reported earnings and revenue estimates, not fundamental work. x.com 

Niche post-quantum cryptography companies like SEALSQ and BTQ face a market where the biggest buyers are building PQC in-house instead of contracting small players. Major banks, cybersecurity companies, megacaps, Cloudflare and gate-based quantum firms are all developing their own, including JPMorgan and Microsoft. For SEALSQ to become a frontrunner, institutions implementing PQC at scale would need to sign with it, and that is not happening. The bigger prize in quantum is gate-based computing. … Show more

Quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti, Quantum Computing Inc, Arqit, SEALSQ, BTQ and HQ could catch a bid around Quantinuum's IPO. Quantinuum is raising about $1.46 billion at a roughly $14 billion valuation, the first traditional IPO of a full-stack quantum company, anchored by long-only demand. Big IPOs reprice whole sectors as allocators who missed the deal seek liquid exposure, as with Cerebras and SpaceX. The driver is positioning, not fundamentals, so these are very risky trades. … Show more

Elisity could let IonQ earn security revenue before quantum computing reaches mass adoption. Its network controls complement quantum-safe encryption as customers prepare for harvest-now-decrypt-later attacks; AI agents could add demand. IonQ is now one of the most strategically important quantum security plays, but the roughly $1.3B deal adds integration risk amid strong competitors. Investors must watch whether security revenue grows organically or through more acquisitions. x.com 

Quantum computing is a race whose winners get pricing power over the hardest problems; Google's CEO says quantum is where AI was five years ago. IonQ leads with Q2 revenue of $80.1 million, up 287%. D-Wave alone is in commercial production; Rigetti grew revenue 173%. IBM targets fault tolerance in 2029, Alphabet's Willow began the cycle, Xanadu is photonic, Infleqtion has federal backing, Quantum Computing Inc. is speculative, Arqit sells post-quantum security; an ETF holds the field. x.com  … Show more

STMicroelectronics' results should keep improving, so betting against it is risky. @BabybusFL expects a broad semiconductor shakeout first that could hit names with and without earnings alike. x.com 

ZEC remains worth backing through uncertain AI and quantum threats because its development team has shown the ability to ship quickly enough to adapt as threats emerge; forecasting which cryptographic technology will hold up over medium to long horizons is difficult. x.com 

Bitcoin's major bearish risk is its community's disturbing lack of interest in preparing for quantum computers that could break its encryption. At least four companies target meaningfully powerful quantum computers by the early 2030s, quantum funding has grown by tens of billions in two years, qubit timelines keep improving, and the qubit count needed to break encryption keeps falling. There is still time for a fork adding post-quantum cryptography, with little to lose by acting now. x.com 

Trump's executive order for a US quantum computer at a national lab by 2028, with the post-quantum encryption deadline pulled to 2031, makes quantum a strategic industry funded like chips and nuclear. Rigetti, D-Wave and Infleqtion each got $100M with the government as shareholder. IonQ leads on revenue via direct defense contracts, with Q1 revenue up 755% to $64.7M. Quantum Computing Inc is a lottery ticket at ~635x sales; the Defiance ETF is a basket. Backing de-risks science, not valuations. … Show more