DVB
Deep-Value Investor, Ex-Tech Executive, Agentic Equity Research Builder
Alphabet's businesses beyond search are why it will lead the real AI boom. Google Cloud, DeepMind and Waymo broaden its reach, and its $900 million SpaceX investment is now worth $85 billion. Fear emerging as the shares fall is an opportunity; a decline toward the buy zone is welcome, even as Q3 capex has taken a large hit out of free cash flow. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Alphabet's lagging AI lab undermines the case for owning it for ANT exposure. The semiconductor-business framing does not make up for that lag, and hyperscalers are no longer needed for this exposure. x.comÂ
Alphabet's 103% year-over-year cloud growth makes its roughly 10% overnight stock drop hard to understand. That growth matters more here than what the rest of the company is doing. x.comÂ
Alphabet's core Search growth is slowing while AI spending surges, making the selloff look deserved despite fast Cloud growth. Search growth fell from 19% to 17% to 12% over three quarters; Search now represents just under half of revenue. The stock could fall to $250, though Amazon is the preferred buy. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Alphabet's exceptional revenue growth and expanding margins make a discount attractive if the market offers one. Quarterly revenue reached $125 billion, up 25%; search is growing faster than YouTube ads. The disappointing result reflects a mark-to-market on SpaceX, while the earnings call sounded great. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Alphabet's cloud business could reach $100 billion over the next year or so. Kalshi Finance says Google Cloud revenue grew 103% to $30.7 billion. Alphabet is spending $51.36 billion on AI infrastructure and reported an $8.664 billion equity-securities loss because of SpaceX. The stock looks like a good buy on the dip, with prices below $300 in oversold territory. x.com x.comÂ
With Alphabet seeing capex increasing significantly versus 2026, per a zerohedge headline, not being long Broadcom and Micron is effectively being short them. x.comÂ
Alphabet's frontier-model effort is deteriorating quickly, and Jeff Dean's exit matters because he masterminded TPUs and Google's distributed systems, not only models. Google failed to foresee this year's demand and sold TPU capacity to Anthropic while its model teams lacked capacity, showing divisions that don't collaborate. Anthropic is now building ASICs directly with Broadcom and running its own infrastructure. TPU and infrastructure remain strong, but confidence in Google overall is lower. … Show more
Alphabet's fast-growing Cloud business could offset pressure on Search as AI agents bypass ads and links. Cloud is already half Search's size, grew 103% versus Search's 12%, and is on track to overtake it; that makes the sell-off a great opportunity. Alphabet also owns SpaceX shares worth about $80 billion. x.comÂ
Alphabet looks even more attractive after a departing Google DeepMind employee said his team was building a new generation of chips to make AI much faster and cheaper, and that he quit because AI is already progressing too fast. x.comÂ