Noah
Stock Investor & Trader, US Equities
These 12 stocks offer exposure to AI, automation, health care, consumer growth and nuclear demand. AMD makes AI chips; Oracle builds AI cloud; Vertex has multiple drug opportunities. Arista supplies data-center switches, KLA inspection tools and Cadence chip-design tools. Palantir sells AI platforms; Symbotic automates warehouses; Alphabet spans search, cloud and AI. Celsius has US consumer momentum, AppLovin runs high-margin mobile ads, and Cameco mines uranium and co-owns Westinghouse. x.com … Show more
SoFi's conservative 2027 guide leaves room to beat expectations, barring a macro shock. Its $6.4B revenue target is 4.2% above consensus and $0.90 EPS target is $0.08 ahead; Q3 revenue grew 44.5% and net margin widened 280 basis points year over year. Cross-selling is gaining traction, management says no capital raise is needed through 2027, and CEO Anthony Noto says he is as confident in durable growth at high rates as at low rates. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Seven stocks trade at forward P/Es far above the S&P 500's roughly 22x, leaving little room for disappointment. Tesla, at 186x, needs Robotaxi and Optimus to deliver. SpaceX, at about 108x, is valued near $2T on about $23B of sales. Arm, at 219x, already prices in heavy AI growth. Palantir, at 81x and 66x sales, can't afford slower growth. Intel, at 52x, prices in a foundry turnaround before profits. CrowdStrike, at 172x, and Palo Alto Networks, at 80x, are great businesses at huge premiums. … Show more
Low forward earnings multiples across eleven stocks cannot persist indefinitely. Nvidia trades near 17.5x, its lowest in over a decade; Oracle near 15x, its lowest in six years. Uber is at 17x, Broadcom 19x, Vistra 15x, AppLovin 14.5x, TSMC 19x, Forgent Power Solutions 18x, Nokia 19.5x, American Express 17x and Western Digital 14x. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Most rivals cannot match these 12 stocks' moats. Micron is one of three HBM titans; Circle backs USDC; ASML alone makes EUV; Planet Labs has the largest Earth-imaging fleet. MongoDB is developers' choice; Affirm embeds at Amazon and Shopify; Eli Lilly leads GLP-1; SoFi spans loans, banking and investing. On gains via CloudTec; AST SpaceMobile builds phone satellites; Rigetti offers cloud quantum computing; Spotify, the largest music streamer, adds podcasts and audiobooks. x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Micron, Intel, AMD, Tesla and SanDisk look overextended and due for a pullback because their share prices have outpaced earnings over five years, and stocks follow EPS over time, as Peter Lynch said. Price versus EPS growth: Micron +1,071% vs +758%, Intel +97% vs -112%, AMD +453% vs -5%, Tesla +78% vs +7%, and SanDisk +4,746% vs +717%. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Quality and price favor these eight stocks. Amazon improves as its multiple falls; Uber generates serious cash flow; Netflix is more profitable at a lower multiple; ServiceNow grew amid multiple compression. SoFi's appeal hinges on earnings near management's long-term expectations. McDonald's ranks among the world's highest-quality businesses at one of its more reasonable valuations in years. AI disruption weighs on Adobe's valuation; Brookfield compounds assets at a comfortable long-term price. … Show more
Competitive moats make growth harder to take away and are central to the long-term case for Amazon, ServiceNow, Uber, Netflix, AMD and SoFi. Amazon's combined commerce, ads and AWS scale is hard to recreate, and ServiceNow's workflow lock-in shows in a 98% renewal rate. Uber riders using both Mobility and Delivery generate over 3x the bookings, Netflix's global reach is hard to copy, and AMD's EPYC, Instinct and ROCm platform deepens with adoption. SoFi's cross-sell moat is still emerging. x.com … Show more
Costco, Apple, Intuitive Surgical, Alphabet and MSCI are amazing companies priced too high for their growth. Costco trades at 46x earnings on high-single-digit growth, Apple at 32x forward on low-double-digit EPS growth, and Intuitive Surgical at 38x forward on low-teens growth. Alphabet, the most attractive, is 33x operating income excluding investment gains. MSCI is 34x trailing on low-double-digit growth; S&P Global is better, cheaper and extremely high quality with similar growth. x.com … Show more
SoFi is the highest-conviction pick among eight businesses to own for 5+ years, as the market underestimates how big its financial ecosystem can become. Amazon has many ways to compound; Uber's core works, with autonomy as upside; ServiceNow has deep switching costs and a long AI runway. Zeta Global is riskier, with huge upside if growth quality holds. Netflix's margins, cash flow, pricing power, ads and scale are underrated; AMD offers data center exposure; AppLovin appeals at the right price. … Show more