Tesla's 200x earnings multiple asks too much of weak current results and speculative future products. Third-quarter revenue fell 0.4% year over year and EBIT missed estimates by 25%, despite gross-margin and cash-flow beats. Robotaxis, humanoids and other future plans may have appeal, but impressive parts of the business do not make the stock worth its current price. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Tesla's $1.5T Elon premium looks unjustified while Musk seems to favor SpaceX for the AI compute buildout. Tesla shareholders missed almost the entire AI boom; owning xAI and building that infrastructure might have doubled Tesla's stock. Q3 adjusted EPS was $0.48, down 4% year over year; if Tesla were a non-Musk company, four such quarters at 10x earnings would mean $19.20 a share versus $386. Long-term company prospects remain attractive, but the stock is still not worth buying back. x.com  … Show more

These twelve stocks could dominate the next era by meeting infrastructure and consumer demand. TSMC makes AI chips; Palo Alto Networks secures cloud; GE Aerospace earns engine-service revenue; IREN builds AI cloud; Broadcom supplies chips and networking; Intuitive Surgical sells surgical robots. Strategy offers bitcoin exposure; e.l.f. Beauty serves Gen Z; Robinhood expands finance; The Trade Desk serves advertisers; Walmart adds ads and memberships; Vistra powers AI data centers. x.com  x.com  … Show more

SpaceX's capital-intensive super-intelligence business makes its $2 trillion valuation hard to justify. At a reported 6% SI margin, even doubling that margin would require roughly $1 trillion in annual revenue to make the math work, about 18 times current quarterly revenue annualized. The extraordinary outcome is already priced in. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Tesla is the imposter in the Magnificent 7: a company with roughly 0% growth demanding about 400 times earnings. Even on forward estimates the P/E sits around 208, not the 73x cited by @des8253105, who blamed the trailing multiple on lost regulatory credits and tariff-related inventory writedowns. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Palantir is a special company whose valuation, while not cheap, is far more reasonable than before and below some high-growth peers. This quarter is expected to bring $1.81B of revenue and $1.08B of operating income, 50% revenue and 100% operating income compounding over three years, and it usually beats by a sizable margin. At 95x earnings it is steep, but EPS is growing 96% this year with 43% compounding expected after, so it should not be cheap. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Tesla trades in another universe among the Magnificent 7, at 190x forward earnings and a 7.0x PEG. By comparison, Nvidia looks expensive at 25x but is the cheapest on PEG at 0.6x, with Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft between 0.9x and 1.6x and Apple at 3.2x. x.com 

These developed-market stocks still trade at extreme multiples even after three years of expected earnings growth, so the market is pricing in perfection. On 2028 forward earnings, Rocket Lab trades at 524 times, Nebius at 282, SoftBank at 251, Tesla at 122, Strategy at 95, Cloudflare at 89, Warner Bros. Discovery at 86, Arm and Takeda at 72, and CrowdStrike at 67. x.com 

SpaceX is an amazing company at an amazing price tag: a $2.7T market cap on $23B of projected 2027 EBITDA and no expected positive net income, versus Microsoft at $2.9T with $240B of EBITDA. The valuation reflects highly speculative but amazing future prospects and how few shares opened at the IPO. It will likely keep exploding higher for a while before an inevitable cool-off. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Tesla's bear-case risks compound faster than its bull catalysts because the stock is priced on optionality. DCF, comparable-company and precedent-transaction methods all put fair value materially below the current price, leaving it reliant on assumptions no standard method can verify. Raising 2026 capex from $20B to $25B+ for Terafab, AI5, Optimus and Robotaxi sacrifices near-term earnings, the HW3 issue is a real liability, and Robotaxi edge cases are resolving slower than bulls priced. x.com  … Show more