Intel's growing server profit gives its recovery firmer support, though Q4's margin reset limits extrapolation. Data Center and AI revenue rose 78% to $7.3B; foundry losses narrowed to $1.85B but remain substantial. Management guides Q4 non-GAAP gross margin to 38% from 44.1% in Q3, while client sales fell 5%. The 14A milestone alone does not establish external foundry commitments. x.com 

Intel's data-center and foundry growth could outlast its PC-driven weak guidance. Data-center revenue rose 78% to $7.3bn and foundry revenue rose 58%, but PCs still account for about half the business and management expects their slowdown through at least the first half of next year. Q4 revenue and margin guidance disappointed, and $0.17 of quarterly EPS came from a mark-to-market gain. The selloff prices in the PC problem, not the turnaround. Overweight; $130 target. x.com  x.com 

Intel's lack of real AI or foundry plans is showing in weak Q4 guidance. It forecasts $15 billion to $16 billion of revenue versus $17.08 billion consensus and non-GAAP EPS of $0.25 versus $0.44, despite Q3 EPS of $0.52 and revenue of $16.51 billion beating expectations. x.com 

Server CPU demand amid AI buildouts gives Intel's upcoming Q3 earnings a fundamental role in its bounce setup. The market expects roughly $16.5 billion in revenue; a potential triple bottom at $87 coincides with the 200 EMA, making a decent bounce highly likely from here. JPMorgan upgraded Intel from Underweight to Neutral, citing better execution and valuation. Losing the 200 EMA would invalidate the pattern and be a significant bearish signal. x.com 

Intel's near-term growth is constrained by a Kiryat Gat factory blast and memory-driven PC weakness. The weak Q4 outlook calls for answers: the blast looks set to cut roughly $300 million of revenue in Q4 and could have a similar impact in Q1, limiting data-center growth. Fab ownership gives Intel pricing power and enterprise demand is strong; external foundry customers would add another tailwind if won. CEO Lip-Bu Tan said Nova Lake will allow Intel to take back share. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  … Show more

Intel's solid miss fits a longstanding negative view of the stock. ZeroHedge reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS guidance of $0.25 versus $0.45 expected and revenue guidance of $15 billion to $16 billion versus $17.29 billion expected. x.com 

Agentic AI is raising the number of CPUs needed alongside GPUs, and that shift gives Intel a long way to run. Q1 revenue was $13.6B versus $12.4B expected, non-GAAP EPS was $0.29 versus $0.01, data center and AI revenue rose 22% and foundry revenue 16%, and Q2 guidance of $14.3B tops the $13.1B consensus. Intel has beaten guidance six straight quarters, Tesla is the first external 14A customer, Google is deploying Xeon for AI, and the advanced packaging backlog runs billions a year. x.com 

Intel delivered the quarter its turnaround case needed, beating its own guidance and the Street on both lines. The headline GAAP loss comes from a non-cash charge on the US government's escrowed shares that grows as the stock rises; the core business is firmly profitable again, with AI compute demand lifting CPUs, advanced packaging and foundry. Catalysts include Xeon 6+ on 18A, Panther Lake in high-volume manufacturing, 18A-P in risk production and over 130 customers testing Core Ultra. x.com 

Intel looks priced for too much good news before it has actually delivered on anything. Its CPU story was carrying the share price. x.com 

Intel's supply deficit is bullish, and its data-center business is highly profitable. Per @FinnStockinger's recap of the Q2 2026 call, Intel has a supply deficit rather than a demand problem, undershipping demand by over $1 billion a quarter, and is shifting factory capacity from a slowing PC market toward data-center CPUs, where operating margin reached 39.5%. x.com