Palantir smashed earnings despite heavy hate this year, and it is flashing the same bullish indicator signal that preceded its last 1,382% rise. A breakout is under way. x.com
Coinvo Trading
Full-Time Trader, Public Trade Commentary
Palantir's government contract activity is growing sharply, supporting its resilience despite the share-price pullback. Its $2.1 billion in 12-month obligations is up 184% from the prior year, among the strongest increases tracked. The Cryptic Bottom Index remains green despite the pullback. Its score is among the highest in the Cryptic Research System, led by growth and profitability, though catalysts and valuation score weakest. x.com x.com x.com
Palantir has launched after a massive beat across the board and a sharp guidance raise. Revenue was $1.94B versus $1.81B expected and EPS $0.41 versus $0.35. FY26 revenue guidance rose to $8.16B versus $7.73B expected, and operating income guidance to $4.9B versus $4.5B. x.com x.com
Palantir's share price demands unusually fast cash and profit growth despite its strong business. At roughly $210, it implies 48.5% annual growth for five years; at 32% annual growth, the shares would be worth $96.64. It is a Watch, not a Buy at today's prices. Q2 sales rose 93% and cash flow after employee stock pay was $2.52 billion over 12 months, but government concentration, cancellable contracts and rising stock pay remain risks. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Continued improvement in fundamentals and technicals could carry Palantir to megacap scale. A $1 trillion market cap is a realistic destination for strong growth companies, and Palantir appears on that path, though its timing is uncertain. Drawdowns remain opportunities to accumulate until the thesis changes. x.com
Palantir's growth is far outrunning expectations, led by US commercial revenue, and it raised its outlook. Q2 revenue rose 93% to $1.935 billion versus $1.81 billion expected, with US commercial up 149% and US government up 90%; adjusted EPS of $0.41 beat estimates of about $0.35. It raised 2026 revenue guidance to $8.15-8.16 billion, 82% growth, and expects US commercial revenue above $3.42 billion, 134% growth. x.com
Palantir looks stretched again, back at about 69 times sales. Michael Burry added March 2027 Palantir puts after covering half his shorts near $107. A further run to $187-$198 would be the better level to lean bearish, and with software stocks running hot for two weeks, the whole trade may top out for a breather. x.com x.com
Palantir already shows companies returns on AI as they shift from testing it to demanding results. JPMorgan's $262 target is about 32% above the current price; the multi-model signal is Long, with three of four models agreeing ahead of Monday's earnings. x.com
Palantir may be undervalued because the market values it as a software company while its opportunity is much bigger. It spans AI deployment, government contracts, enterprise adoption and mission-critical data infrastructure, and expensive stocks can stay expensive when the business keeps expanding. x.com
Palantir's valuation leaves it vulnerable to a nasty reversal. Its attached metrics show 178.8x trailing earnings, 80.1x trailing sales on an enterprise-value basis, and 110x next-twelve-month earnings. x.com
Palantir's guidance alone suggests the share price will climb when revenue is set against price. The weekly chart has also broken out. x.com