Burak Finance
Head of Analytics, Growth Investor, PLTR/NBIS/RKLB
Nebius, AST SpaceMobile, Ondas and Rocket Lab are worth buying now that the Fear & Greed Index has hit Extreme Fear again, as panic is when smart money accumulates. Over the past year, buying at Extreme Fear worked: April 2025 returned 13.6% in a month and 25.7% in three, and October 2025 returned 1.3% and 4.6%. x.comÂ
Nebius, Ondas, Applied Optoelectronics, IREN, AST SpaceMobile, Microsoft, Nokia, Bloom Energy, SanDisk and SoFi are stocks to get greedy on while the Fear & Greed Index flashes fear and others panic. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Extreme fear has historically offered strong long-term S&P 500 buying opportunities. After VIX spikes above 30, 35 and 40, average 12-month S&P 500 returns were 23%, 28% and over 30%, respectively; after spikes above 40, returns were positive more than 90% of the time. x.comÂ
IREN and Nebius look set to get dragged through the mud as macro may break soon and crush high-beta names, even though the long-term belief in both remains. The risks are rising oil, a higher VIX, falling indexes, upcoming midterms, an ongoing war not ending soon and potential rate hikes, with October a watch point. Building cash for that selloff is where the opportunity lies. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
The current rotation out of financials and speculative names into profitable AI plays is the market to add to high-conviction, higher-growth stocks for the long term. Lemonade, Robinhood, SoFi, Strategy, Rocket Lab, IREN and leveraged Tesla exposure are major buys. Micron, Nvidia, AMD, Coherent and Alphabet are holding up while Microsoft, Amazon and Meta fell after earnings; the call is to stay fundamentals-based and not get emotional. x.comÂ
October looks set for a rally because the market badly wants to buy stocks, and weak jobs data that rules out an October rate hike gave it the excuse. Credo, Nebius and Applied Optoelectronics are the picks to ride it. x.comÂ
Robinhood, Nebius, Cipher Mining, Amprius, Bloom Energy, Ondas, TE and AST SpaceMobile are down hard on macro fear over the Iran war, not fundamentals, while their businesses have never been stronger. High-beta names were sold hardest, from Amprius down 20% to TE down 64% from their highs. When the war ends and fear fades, they should snap back fast rather than drift. The window between fear and recovery is where generational returns are made. x.comÂ
Space stocks should all run eventually, with smaller names running more, so Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile may be the plays in the industry. SpaceX will likely bottom after its lock-ups expire and then make a long-term run, making a case for owning all three. x.comÂ
Rocket Lab looks set for a sharp move higher after a trading framework flashed a bottom signal, a day after a $2M call buyer appeared in the stock. Key levels and upside targets for the setup are laid out in an accompanying video. x.comÂ
Nebius's weekly chart is flashing a fresh buy signal. Highlighted momentum bars have served as reliable buy and DCA signals in retrospect, the bullish ribbon is about to expand, and whale accumulation has risen strongly to 98.2%. The trend is the friend; ignore market noise and treat volatility as the gateway to wealth creation. x.comÂ
The S&P 500 rally likely has a few more days worth staying exposed to, because SPY's cumulative advance/decline line is still below its all-time high. The A/D line turned up at the end of March and its trend remains positive. The Fear & Greed Index keeps climbing, though, so it may be time to start dialing back exposure. x.comÂ
