Flow God
Options-Flow Commentary
An unusually large spike in call flow supports Microsoft's bullish $555 target. The 11:00-11:15 ET bucket showed $3.4 million in net calls, almost entirely in September 2027 $600 contracts; the chart projects a rise to $555 before a pullback. x.comÂ
Anthropic's S-1 and @UncleAlpha007's claim that Microsoft is growing despite a 27% headcount cut have turned the near-term tech-equity view bullish. At least a tradable rally is expected; further upside depends on Iran developments and PCE. Stay nimble. x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft looks due for a pullback after rallying from 390 to 491 in about two weeks, as capital rotates out of software into semiconductors. Heavy trimming makes sense here; dealers appear positioned for a mini pullback while semiconductor, AI and photonics stocks such as Nvidia, AMD and Intel bounce. x.com x.comÂ
Azure's accelerating growth and better returns per capex dollar leave further upside on the table for Microsoft, the favored hyperscaler. Azure grew 48% versus 44-45% guidance, its fifth straight beat. The stock is holding eight-week EMA support, with the blue candle still intact. x.comÂ
Azure growth guidance and AI monetization are expected to improve, which can extend Microsoft's weekly/monthly breakout through Q4 and beyond. That could take the stock to $650 by year-end. The next pullback will be around the sub-$500s, which is the round to be in. x.comÂ
Microsoft looks set for continuation after breaking out of a flag, with a gap up to $480 as the best case. Software is catching a bid, the chart has broken into the gap from last earnings, and Microsoft holds an event in Taipei to release an agent-optimized operating system. It already trades around $465 on Hyperliquid, which has been fairly accurate on most names lately. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft and Meta look set for the next quiet rotation, after four weeks of money moving out of Microsoft into Amazon, Apple and Google. Microsoft was one of the first Magnificent Seven names to rally 20%+ off the March lows and has spent four weeks consolidating into a weekly bull flag. Targets are 440+ for Microsoft and 680+ for Meta. x.comÂ
Microsoft's fundamentals and future growth look solid even though its technicals are broken, so it may be time for a new run above $400. x.comÂ
Microsoft broke above $433 after two rejections and closed at $445, so it will likely be chased toward its 200-day average near $458, with some continuation likely into Monday on its Taiwan product launch with Nvidia. $487 is the ultimate target, but this is the tail end of the trade, where risk/reward is starting to get capped. x.comÂ
Microsoft should reach new all-time highs soon as the upcoming OpenAI IPO and its cheap valuation lift a stock that has been a laggard for a while. With an Anthropic IPO also ahead and compute scarce, the market should re-rate companies that invested in capex early, and Microsoft, like Oracle, has seen momentum ignition. x.comÂ