CoreWeave is a buy now, with Wall Street analysts' 12-month price target of $144.46 implying about 73% upside. x.com
Marcos Milla
Former Analyst at the Federal Reserve, ETF/Stock Newsletter Author
CoreWeave's building buyer pressure despite deteriorating sentiment points to an upside reversal. Every time this divergence has appeared in the stock, it has reversed to the upside. x.com
CoreWeave looks positioned to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of years of demand for GPU computing at scale. It should be one of the most important players in the AI infrastructure buildout, with Jensen Huang and Nvidia deeply tied to it. At $50 a share, its debt load is not a concern; the stock could look like one of the best buying opportunities by decade-end. x.com x.com
CoreWeave looks like a poor long because its debt now exceeds its market capitalization. x.com
CoreWeave's 3.2x 2027 revenue multiple makes it one of the most attractive stocks in the market. x.com
CoreWeave's stock may already reflect much of its real financing risk amid extreme pessimism. Its unsecured bonds yield distressed rates and CDS spreads have surged, while Q2 net interest expense was $640M and 2026 capex guidance is $35–39B. Q2 revenue was $2.58B with about $104B of backlog, but whether that demand yields shareholder value after financing, depreciation and reinvestment remains uncertain; attractive financing is central to the case. x.com
CoreWeave's debt-funded GPUs make financing costs central to its business, while credit markets now price severe distress. Its five-year CDS reached 1,194 basis points on October 15 and remained near 1,145 last week, implying roughly 60% default odds over five years. If yields fall after the FOMC yet shares cannot hold $50, the balance sheet deserves more scrutiny than the macro backdrop. x.com
CoreWeave's pricing power is overlooked amid financing fears, making it potentially the most misunderstood AI stock right now. It had over $104B in Q2 backlog and signed $25B in net new commitments over six weeks. Short-term contracts approach $40M per MW annually versus about $7M on active capacity, but that rate cannot be applied fleetwide. A $4.2B convertible carried a 2.875% coupon despite near-15% unsecured bond yields; $35B debt, dilution and capacity-conversion risks remain. x.com
Improving per-MW pricing, falling cost of capital and stronger-than-expected demand from Anthropic and OpenAI make CoreWeave one of three absolute favorite stocks on a massive sale. Its short-term deals can command 3-4 times the pricing of long-term contracts. x.com
CoreWeave still trades at 7.6 times book value despite the implosion, well above the 1-4 times book value it should command. x.com
CoreWeave is the obvious big opportunity that people hunting for the next big thing miss. Revenue went from $229 million in 2023 to $5.1 billion in 2025, effectively a different company and the fastest any cloud provider has reached $5 billion a year. Its $99 billion backlog is nearly 20x its entire 2023 revenue, already under contract. x.com