Say No To Trading
Public Markets Investor, Opportunistic Buying & Cost-Basis Management
Johnson & Johnson is not the S&P 500 laggard its five-year sideways chart suggests once dividends and longer timelines are counted: over 20 years it trails the index by only the tiniest amount. That says something for a very low-beta stock with one of only two AAA credit ratings, alongside Microsoft. It is a strong anchor for when momentum and growth stocks get clobbered. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Altria, Johnson & Johnson, Waste Management, TJX, Linde, Costco and Quest Diagnostics add defense to a portfolio, scoring highest among S&P 500 stocks on an antifragility screen of low volatility, strong free cash flow, minimal debt and stable earnings. All are also trending up this year, with momentum scores above 75; Altria scores 100 on antifragility and J&J 99. x.comÂ
Qualcomm, Johnson & Johnson, Wendy's, IBM, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Caterpillar are steady dividend payers that pay investors to wait, in keeping with Warren Buffett's rule never to lose money. Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo have raised their dividends for decades. Qualcomm licenses wireless patents nearly every phone maker pays for, IBM leads in quantum computing research, and Caterpillar is a growing supplier of power generation for data centers. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Johnson & Johnson looks expensive at 22x for its growth, even though its story is clean. Limited loss-of-exclusivity risk until the 2030s, a cleanup via spin-off and divestments, and a pipeline in IBS and cancer could deliver double-digit EPS growth before 2030, and Street estimates are probably too low. Still, Stryker at about 20x 2027 earnings, with high-single-digit organic growth and strong M&A skills, beats JNJ at 21x, which tends to overpay for growth like typical large pharma. x.comÂ
Blue-chip dividend stocks seem to benefit from capital rotating out of weakening large-cap tech. They strengthen when QQQ weakens, or at least temporarily absorb some of that outflow; tech weakness and blue-chip or value gains have shown a one-for-one same-day relationship right now. x.com x.comÂ
Dividend growth stocks have quietly outperformed the S&P 500 for decades, making Broadcom, Visa, S&P Global, Costco, Mastercard, Texas Instruments, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Starbucks and NVIDIA ten to buy and hold forever. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft, Amazon, Celsius, Dell, Alphabet, Johnson & Johnson, Elevance Health, Palo Alto Networks, Meta, Nvidia, Zoetis and First Solar are twelve stocks worth confidently holding for decades, since investing is about playing the long game. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft, one of the best businesses in the world, now trades at 19x forward earnings, the kind of valuation where quality investors start buying. x.comÂ
Durable dividend stocks such as Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola, Realty Income, PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, Sherwin-Williams, Visa and Federal Realty can become a lifetime income machine. The key is owning businesses so durable that investors sleep well while dividends and compounding do the work, rather than chasing yield. x.comÂ
Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, McDonald's, JPMorgan Chase and UnitedHealth are stocks worth holding forever. They aren't the flashiest names and won't deliver the best returns, but they offer consistency and can be counted on to keep growing for decades. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Berkshire Hathaway benefits from a flight to low-beta quality stocks that are not burdening themselves with AI debt. Its shares are up 10% in October, while three of its largest holdings, Apple, Coca-Cola and Chevron, have been surging. Boring pays. x.comÂ
