Microsoft, one of the best businesses in the world, now trades at 19x forward earnings, the kind of valuation where quality investors start buying. x.comÂ
Jimmy Investor
Former Equity Analyst
Microsoft's valuation is starting to look attractive at about 22x forward earnings, a 4.5% earnings yield, for a pristine, wide-moat compounder with secular tailwinds. It remains a cash machine, funding heavy AI and infrastructure spending from its own operations while still generating plenty of free cash flow, without borrowing or issuing stock, even with shares down double digits this year. x.comÂ
Microsoft's 50% Azure growth and prospect of positive cash flow in 2027 make the stock look bulletproof. Headcount cuts, lower Anthropic spend, a better Copilot routed to cheaper tokens, and coming proprietary chips and model usage add to the case. It should get Apple's multiple plus recognition for cybersecurity. x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft's delivery delays are affecting earnings, making other sources of returns look safer now. x.comÂ
Microsoft's salesforce and governed platform unlock AI spending at conservative firms. Faster enterprise than consumer AI adoption makes it effectively the only pure play. M365 Commercial may top 20% growth next quarter, sooner than expected on tonight's guide; GitHub resegmentation helps, but it should do so this year anyway. Azure and M365, two-thirds of revenue, should grow above 50% and 20% and may accelerate. $24-25 CY27 EPS remains achievable, implying under 22x forward earnings. x.com … Show more
Azure's accelerating growth and better returns per capex dollar leave further upside on the table for Microsoft, the favored hyperscaler. Azure grew 48% versus 44-45% guidance, its fifth straight beat. The stock is holding eight-week EMA support, with the blue candle still intact. x.comÂ
Microsoft is not cheap even after a 20% drop: it fails a strict 20% margin-of-safety valuation hurdle. x.comÂ
Microsoft's hold on enterprise software and the cloud running AI makes it one of tech's best positions to own. Fiscal Q1 revenue rose 19% on Azure and the AI stack, while operating income rose 21% and net income 32%. Grade: A. x.comÂ
Microsoft is one of the most disrespected stocks in the market and a clear, easy buy after falling more than 18% this year. Per VJN Capital, it trades at its lowest forward P/E in seven years. x.com x.comÂ
Microsoft is expensive on cash flow even though its 19-22x forward P/E looks like a 40% discount to its 10-year average. Its 2.0% forward free-cash-flow yield sits below the 3.3% 10-year median, and at this point in the cycle earnings multiples mislead while free cash flow is what the market actually prices. x.comÂ
Rapid revenue growth makes the capex bear case harder to justify for Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon. Their latest cited growth rates are 18%, 23%, 28% and 16% in Q2, respectively; their scale does not seem to be slowing them as expected. x.comÂ