From Growth To Value
Founder of Potential Multibaggers/Best Anchor Stocks
Nvidia's valuation gives too little credit to its expected long-term earnings growth. Its forward P/E-to-growth ratio is 0.28, the lowest since late 2023; the bullish read depends on those growth expectations proving accurate. x.com x.com
Nvidia's rising revenue alongside a much lower P/E is getting hard to ignore. Its chart shows quarterly revenue above $80 billion in Q2 2026 while the P/E is around 30x, down from much higher multiples in prior years. x.com
Costco is the preferred hedge against OpenAI's much higher valuation relative to revenue. Costco's cited $441B valuation comes with $275B revenue, versus OpenAI's $1.4T valuation and $50B revenue. x.com
Costco already looks quite overvalued, with a forward P/E that is crazy high. x.com
Mega-cap retail, not AI, is the real bubble. Walmart and Costco trade at nearly 50x earnings just for stability, multiples that are insane for businesses seen as solid portfolio staples. x.com x.com x.com
Costco is a wonderful execution story whose business only gets better through consumer pain. Its Kirkland brand is more valuable than 90% of consumer brands today. The stock has been too expensive this cycle, and not owning it in size was a mistake; it is worth owning, though the right entry level is unclear. Sysco's moves illustrate the deeper transformation underway. x.com
Costco is an amazing company, but at roughly 40x forward earnings its stock is pricing in a lot of perfection. x.com
Costco's premium multiple looks unsustainable, at 40 times next-twelve-month earnings with EPS growing only about 10%. Stocks with PEG ratios like that are not worth owning, as multiple cuts at former compounders such as FICO and Intuitive Surgical showed. x.com x.com
Costco doesn't follow the stage 3 to stage 4 breakdown that pattern traders expect, because its fundamentals don't allow it and institutions are willing to pay a premium valuation for its stability. That replies to @ohiain, who notes Costco hit fresh all-time highs as institutional money rotates back toward defensive leadership. x.com
Nvidia's 0.39 PEG suggests its valuation is low relative to growth. Its 26.56x P/E and 17.55x forward P/E are below their respective ten-year medians of 50.36x and 26.5x. x.com