Babyfolio
Software Engineer, AI Infrastructure Investor
Kraken Robotics looks overlooked even though its CEO and executives recently bought shares above the current price, and the CEO already holds about $35m of stock. Kraken is profitable yet trades at a discount to unprofitable peers, and its triple-digit P/E means little for a scaling business. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Kraken Robotics could double or more over the next 12 months now that its $615M Covelya acquisition has final regulatory approval, turning it from a component supplier into a full subsea systems integrator. Combined 2025 revenue rises from $102M to about $365M, and the valuation stays compelling against that base and synergies. Defense tailwinds and a possible Anduril IPO are further catalysts, and the dilution for the deal was worth it. The 200-day average has repeatedly held as support. x.com x.com x.com
Covelya could substantially lift Kraken Robotics' revenue, with projected combined gross margins of 60%. The attached slide shows $305M in estimated 2026 revenue versus $102M in 2025. That makes the stock very compelling under $3, around a $1B market cap, and a potential long-term winner, though stronger revenue growth must be demonstrated to jumpstart it; this call could be wrong. x.com
Kraken Robotics is at very attractive levels again now that much of the fast-money retail crowd has left the stock. x.com
Kraken Robotics is not yet a buy despite falling almost 60% from its high. It should first report combined results with Covelya that preserve a credible growth and margin path, and the stock should form a base; the defence factor remains deeply out of favor. @DeepSailCapital argues it is near a bottom, expecting CAD 0.20 of 2028 EPS, mid-20s to 30s revenue growth and product ramps with Anduril. x.com x.com
Kraken Robotics' organic results are strong, and adding Covelya should make the picture even better. Per Kraken Robotics, Q1 2026 revenue grew 35% year over year and 2026 guidance was reiterated. x.com
Anduril's purchase of acoustic-modem maker Popoto Modem signals it plans to build its undersea fleet at scale, and more hulls mean more Kraken Robotics batteries. Kraken has supplied pressure-tolerant batteries to the Dive line since 2020 and reportedly powers Ghost Shark and Copperhead; Anduril's Rhode Island plant targets 200+ Dive LD vehicles a year, and qualifying a new battery takes years. Retail owns 79.6% of shares; a TSX uplisting by early 2027 or a US listing could draw institutions. … Show more
Kraken Robotics looks expensive at 11x sales, or 2x next year's, when the industry usually gets 1x. At 1x next year's sales, give or take 12%, fair value is about $1.86-$2.37, leaving the $2.91 US-listed price 23% above the high end. The estimate leans on forecast sales 128% above trailing. This is a valuation-level read only, not fundamental work. x.com
Kraken Robotics is the subsystem prime for underwater drones, putting $3-5 million of content per hull in reach as Anduril and navies scale uncrewed fleets. Its offering spans batteries, sonar and navigation via Covelya/Sonardyne. Funds that bought near CAD $2 two years ago have spent four months clearing their positions, and that selling is mostly past. x.com x.com x.com
Kraken Robotics offers one of the best risk-reward setups in defense, giving exposure to Anduril's autonomy trend at a fraction of the valuation. It supplies SeaPower subsea batteries for Anduril's underwater drone programs, has 2026 product orders of $327-355M and guides to $290-320M revenue and $65-75M adjusted EBITDA, yet sits near a sub-$1B market cap after a 60%+ drop. It plans a full TSX listing in late 2026 or early 2027, and $10 is the target. x.com
Kraken Robotics is stuck in a trap as its key catalyst, the Anduril subsea ramp, is delayed by at least a year. That ramp likely needs a US battery facility and a Navy order to confirm, and the defense budget showed no large FY27 subsea-drone order. The market has also turned on drone and defense stocks after they ran ahead of a multi-year buildout, and without an uplisting from its junior exchange institutional ownership and volume stay thin. Second-half earnings may bring some support. x.com
Kraken Robotics' new $35M of orders is huge news, and the stock still looks extremely cheap as a direct beneficiary of conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, after falling well below its March all-time high. CEO Greg Reid says its product portfolio, used across crewed and uncrewed defense and commercial platforms, should make up over 75% of 2026 revenue. x.com x.com
