Kraken Robotics is not yet a buy despite falling almost 60% from its high. It should first report combined results with Covelya that preserve a credible growth and margin path, and the stock should form a base; the defence factor remains deeply out of favor. @DeepSailCapital argues it is near a bottom, expecting CAD 0.20 of 2028 EPS, mid-20s to 30s revenue growth and product ramps with Anduril. x.com  x.com 

Kraken Robotics and Ondas Holdings face weak demand prospects: it is hard to see how many battery-powered submarines Taiwan or Europe will actually order. x.com 

Kraken Robotics is the subsystem prime for underwater drones, putting $3-5 million of content per hull in reach as Anduril and navies scale uncrewed fleets. Its offering spans batteries, sonar and navigation via Covelya/Sonardyne. Funds that bought near CAD $2 two years ago have spent four months clearing their positions, and that selling is mostly past. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Kraken Robotics looks expensive at 11x sales, or 2x next year's, when the industry usually gets 1x. At 1x next year's sales, give or take 12%, fair value is about $1.86-$2.37, leaving the $2.91 US-listed price 23% above the high end. The estimate leans on forecast sales 128% above trailing. This is a valuation-level read only, not fundamental work. x.com 

Kraken Robotics' stock already prices in a lot after its Covelya acquisition, even though the deal strengthens the business. Kraken bought six subsea firms at 10x EBITDA, adding exposure to areas with durable pricing power, but the market values the combined company near three times that multiple. To earn it, Kraken must integrate them, hold about 24% EBITDA margins, convert a record order book and diversify from a customer near 45% of sales. The first consolidated quarter comes in November. … Show more

Kraken Robotics offers one of the best risk-reward setups in defense, giving exposure to Anduril's autonomy trend at a fraction of the valuation. It supplies SeaPower subsea batteries for Anduril's underwater drone programs, has 2026 product orders of $327-355M and guides to $290-320M revenue and $65-75M adjusted EBITDA, yet sits near a sub-$1B market cap after a 60%+ drop. It plans a full TSX listing in late 2026 or early 2027, and $10 is the target. x.com 

Applied Aerospace & Defense's record $1.13B backlog and sole-supplier role on 87% of its business make it much stronger than its chart looks. Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose 38.5%, and customers include SpaceX and Anduril. Jefferies named it one of its top small/mid-cap cyclical ideas with a Buy rating and $20 target, more than 80% above Wednesday's close. The falling-wedge trigger is $11.54. x.com 

Enovix's initial drone-battery order and $216 million drone, defense and industrial pipeline underpin the bullish setup. A dual-use drone maker ordered 100,000 batteries for delivery in the first half of 2027, with follow-on orders expected afterward. Early Q3 revenue rose 38% to $11 million and beat guidance. Friday's call volume was about twice normal; the rounding-bottom setup favors a breakout if shares reclaim and hold $2.97, with targets of $3.59, $4.17 and $5.00. x.com 

Anduril's purchase of acoustic-modem maker Popoto Modem signals it plans to build its undersea fleet at scale, and more hulls mean more Kraken Robotics batteries. Kraken has supplied pressure-tolerant batteries to the Dive line since 2020 and reportedly powers Ghost Shark and Copperhead; Anduril's Rhode Island plant targets 200+ Dive LD vehicles a year, and qualifying a new battery takes years. Retail owns 79.6% of shares; a TSX uplisting by early 2027 or a US listing could draw institutions. … Show more

Drone stocks fell in 2026 even as backlogs hit records: Ukraine turned aircraft into ammunition, and the Pentagon's 2027 request holds nearly $75B for drones and counter-drone. AeroVironment's reordered loitering munitions and Kratos's jet drones are highest conviction. Counter-drone names Ondas, Axon, Motorola Solutions, Safe Pro, DroneShield and Rheinmetall gain as threats grow, Unusual Machines from Chinese-parts bans. Primes bury drone exposure; pure plays may not convert backlog. x.com  … Show more