Markos
Founder of Asset Alliance Investment Group
Navitas is a one-customer concentration story facing heavy competition from tier-one suppliers. Its GaN portfolio winning Nvidia adoption played out, but STMicroelectronics and Infineon also supply Nvidia and are strong in GaN and SiC. GaN output may quadruple by 2030, yet SiC prices were hammered by Chinese capacity, unresolved, so revenue and margins could diverge sharply. Power and thermal efficiency are better played across these names than through Navitas alone. x.comÂ
Navitas Semiconductor's valuation has run far ahead of its fundamentals and guidance. The main driver, NVIDIA adoption, is already known: Navitas has disclosed revenue projections for NVIDIA's 800V DC build, which drove the re-rating. Scaling these product lines takes time, capital and planning, and recent moves look like sentiment as X calls it the new photonics, not fundamentals. It still depends on order intake. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Navitas is exposed to a real thesis, power delivery as AI's next bottleneck, through a high-risk stock. Rack power is heading from 150kW to over 1,000kW, and Navitas has full-stack GaN and SiC, an 800V HVDC design partnership with Nvidia and a 96.5%-efficient 800V-to-6V board. But Q4 2025 revenue fell 59% to $7.3M, it trades near 211x trailing EV/revenue, loses money, revenue inflection is 2-3 years away, and Infineon, Vicor and Delta got similar Nvidia mentions. Valuation conviction is low. … Show more
STMicroelectronics is a hidden common thread across semiconductors, and the market is waking up to it in 2026. It turns up in silicon carbide and GaN power devices, its STM32 is effectively the MCU standard, and it leads MEMS sensor share. Its chips sit in SpaceX Starlink satellites, AWS data center infrastructure and a humanoid robot shown at NVIDIA's headquarters. A "European semiconductor" label long kept interest lukewarm, but that perception is breaking down fast. x.comÂ
Navitas Semiconductor's opportunity now spans the entire AI power stack, from the grid to the chip, not just GaN. As StockSavvyShay noted, closing Claros adds integrated voltage regulators next to AI processors and more than doubles Navitas's 2030 AI power opportunity to $8B, covering 10 kV SiC near the grid, 800V rack conversion, GaN in the rack and power at the chip. x.comÂ
Navitas's place in NVIDIA's 800 VDC ecosystem carries little pricing power because the silicon tier is crowded. NVIDIA names fourteen silicon suppliers, Navitas among them, and rent comes from scarcity; SiC and GaN also split the socket by stage. Per SemiAnalysis, rollout is phased, and the first stage is a retrofit into existing wiring with the smallest content per site. Unlike optical, no 800 VDC tier has disclosed dollars yet; a first order with a figure and date would change the picture. … Show more
Navitas's licensing deal with Magnachip won't justify its elevated valuation any time soon. No financial terms were disclosed; typical IP licensing in this space brings $5M-$15M upfront plus 3-7% royalties, 100%-margin cash but small against Navitas's multiples. Magnachip needs 12-24 months to qualify and scale the silicon carbide technology in its Korean fab, making this a long-term build rather than a catalyst for next quarter. x.comÂ
Navitas, Infineon, Texas Instruments and STMicroelectronics each have a strong position in GaN and SiC power chips. Navitas is one of only three vendors with integrated-driver GaN and a credible SiC part, so it beats Texas Instruments when customers want dual-source GaN plus SiC. Texas Instruments has top-tier integrated-drive GaN but no SiC. Infineon has competitive GaN and very strong SiC. STMicroelectronics has a good SiC part, with GaN in development. x.comÂ
Navitas Semiconductor's Nvidia deal is worth far less than the hype suggests: even with the 40% share people expect, it might add only about $30M in total revenue. Wolfspeed already has almost double that in annualized data-center revenue today, before any 800V data centers or power-grid upgrades. x.comÂ
Power Integrations should be very successful over the next one to five years because it makes the only GaN switches needed for NVIDIA's new rack architecture. x.com x.comÂ
Navitas is an option on Nvidia's 800V DC data-center architecture, where GaN handles the step-down from 800 volts to processor level inside the rack. The design halves power conversion stages so racks can reach the up to 8 megawatts Rubin Ultra needs, with full deployment alongside Kyber in 2027. Navitas, on Nvidia's partner list, is the only US-listed pure-play GaN company. Revenue is minimal until the Kyber ramp, and Nvidia's 29-company partner list means hard pricing pressure. x.comÂ
Navitas remains a wait-and-see name because its high-voltage products are years from real revenue. The US Army selected it for ALATTIS, a program to build domestic 10 kV silicon carbide power devices, which validates its engineering and fits its roadmap toward solid-state transformers for AI data centers alongside its Nvidia 800 V work. But it is a prototype program with no disclosed value, and 10 kV devices are years from volume revenue. x.comÂ
