A $2M split of $500K each across QQQ, VOO, VGT and TQQQ targets about 15% combined annual growth, enough to withdraw $10K a month and live comfortably in a lower-cost country with better healthcare, weather and safety. x.comÂ
Gublo
Small/Mid-Cap Trader, Multibagger/Penny Stocks, Earnings Analysis & Signals
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have historically compounded at nearly 12% a year through every major recession and correction, enough to fund retirement by selling shares as needed. A $1M portfolio could support a decent monthly withdrawal and likely still double in 10 years. The income comes from selling shares rather than dividends, since the funds yield only about 1.2% and 0.5%. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Owning the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 through low-cost index funds captures tomorrow's winners as they emerge without predicting them, since both indexes keep replacing fading companies with stronger ones. Since inception, the S&P 500 fund is up about 814% and the Nasdaq-100 fund about 1,683%. Contribution rate matters more than timing: $400 a month at 10.5% for 30 years grows to about $876,000, double the $438,000 from $200. x.comÂ
The Nasdaq 100 looks set for a persistent uptrend after hitting a new record, which favors 3x leveraged exposure through TQQQ. After three choppy months, funds are refocusing on what matters while positioning and sentiment remain lopsided and weak, making a rise likelier than more chop and possibly another major bull run. Leveraged ETFs compound in steady uptrends but lose to friction in chop, as TQQQ's 136% gain against QQQ's 35% in April-May showed. Gulf tensions still need to end. x.com x.comÂ
Leveraged ETFs such as TQQQ lose much of their promised return to decay. QQQ is up 18% this year, so a 3x product should be up 54%, but TQQQ is up only 42%; the missing 12% is decay. A 3x perpetual future captures the full 54% instead and lets traders set leverage as they want. x.comÂ
The S&P 500 fund VOO beats covered-call income ETFs like GPIX and QQQI because covered calls cap upside, leaving long-run returns worse. Since GPIX's October 2023 inception, VOO has compounded 26.4% a year versus GPIX's 23.6%, while QQQ's 25.4% beat QQQI's 21%. Fees add drag of about 1.1% for GPIX and 2.2% for QQQI versus 0.1% for VOO, and large monthly payouts are tax-inefficient. x.com x.comÂ
The S&P 500 is one of the best long-term investments, giving instant diversification across 500 of the largest US companies in one low-cost, tax-efficient fund. The index has returned about 10% a year on average with dividends reinvested, its dividend has grown about 7% a year over five years, and it has rallied back from nearly every crash or downturn, supporting steady dollar-cost averaging. x.comÂ
An all-cash rental property beats the S&P 500 on cash flow. $150,000 in an S&P 500 index fund yields about $250 a month in dividends, while the same amount in an all-cash rental yields about $1,000 a month, with 4% annual property growth budgeted. x.com x.comÂ
Buying a broad index fund consistently over many years is one of the best strategies for most investors because it is simple, diversified and easy to stick with. US funds tracking the S&P 500 or Nasdaq-100, optionally with non-US exposure, have historically returned around 8-10% a year on average for patient holders. They are less volatile than individual growth stocks, need little upkeep and spare investors from reacting to news. UK pensions locked until 55-57 make holding long easier. x.com … Show more
QQQ remains the better way to grow wealth than QQQI, because taxes on QQQI's distributions further erode its return even for holders who reinvest them. A post the author replies to notes QQQI lets holders keep distributions without selling shares, which some prefer. x.comÂ
Short dealer gamma could amplify SPY and QQQ selling as liquidity drains. SPY's first long-gamma strike is 745 next week, a possible magnet; QQQ has no long-gamma floor in frame, with vanna near 700. A bottom looks likelier next week than this week, with chop between. When strength returns, probably late October, easing should flood equities sooner than most expect: a strong November, stronger December and a Santa rally, with high beta leading into year-end. Its early hourly turn could reverse. … Show more
TQQQ beats holding ten separate tech stocks, offering the same Nasdaq-100 exposure with 3x leverage in a single position, while QQQ already beats most hand-picked tech portfolios. x.comÂ