Semiconductors look attractive over a two-to-three-year horizon because the short-term pullback has already happened. Nvidia's impact should reverse the trend. x.com 

Nvidia's $14 billion purchase of Hugging Face deepens a conglomerate discount that has been building. The business may be getting more insulated, but it is also getting harder to understand, which could add to the stock's lack of a multiple premium. This is a caution rather than an outright bearish call. x.com 

Nvidia's rising revenue alongside a much lower P/E is getting hard to ignore. Its chart shows quarterly revenue above $80 billion in Q2 2026 while the P/E is around 30x, down from much higher multiples in prior years. x.com 

Nvidia's order book could collapse if its biggest customers cut AI spending, much as Cisco fell 90% in 18 months after the 1999 infrastructure boom. Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta are spending $650bn on AI infrastructure this year, which is effectively Nvidia's whole business model. If their CFOs find in Q3 that AI capex is not producing measurable returns, they cut, Nvidia's orders fall and so does 30% of the S&P 500. Timing is the only question. x.com 

NVIDIA is a capital-cycle cyclical, so its strong near-term guidance only sets up a bigger slowdown later. Its FY28 guide for 70% growth, versus 45% consensus, means a bigger deceleration in FY29. Arguments that NVIDIA deserves a market multiple or more on $400B-plus of FY2028 net income ignore how such cyclicals behave. x.com  x.com 

Nvidia's valuation gives too little credit to its expected long-term earnings growth. Its forward P/E-to-growth ratio is 0.28, the lowest since late 2023; the bullish read depends on those growth expectations proving accurate. x.com  x.com 

NVIDIA faces a market-wide selloff once a slowdown or halt in hyperscaler capex growth is confirmed. Whether non-hyperscalers absorb some of the excess supply, despite 52-week GPU wait times raised in a reply, is immaterial to that reaction. x.com 

Nvidia isn't worth owning into the future: the law of large numbers is hard to beat, and the stock has been selling off on earnings beats. Margins are declining, and @AtlasShrug1 notes Nvidia is stretching by extending credit where traditional lenders won't, lowering the quality of each incremental revenue dollar. Efforts to cut HBM content per token and improve memory architectures may offer only temporary relief. x.com  x.com 

Nvidia's CUDA retains developers, putting it among 12 stocks that could dominate the decade ahead. Nebius's GPU rental price rise signals demand; Fabrinet and Credo supply AI connectivity. DraftKings has betting scale; Microsoft has Azure and an OpenAI partnership; Figma anchors design work; Shopify powers stores. TeraWulf pivots power sites to AI leases; Constellation, the largest US nuclear operator, signs big-tech power deals; Meta spends on AI; Uber has autonomous-vehicle partnerships. x.com  … Show more

Nvidia's trough P/E is a trap rather than a bargain. Responding to @WaterworldCapi1 noting Nvidia at a 10-year-low P/E, a cheap multiple on a cyclical name is exactly when the stock gets hammered. x.com