Wey How
Thematic Position Trader, Technology Stocks & Trend Following
GE Vernova's turbines and grid equipment make it a clear winner from the AI data-center power crunch. Q3 equipment sales rose 42%, total revenue 27% and operating income 281% as margins expanded. Grade: A. x.comÂ
GE Vernova's AI-driven power demand is compounding faster than its Wind segment can drag on results. Data center orders already exceed $5B, more than double 2025's full-year total, even as headline EPS came in below estimates. The market is fixating on the wrong line. x.comÂ
GE Vernova's buybacks look poorly priced relative to its borrowing cost. At $895, repurchases yield about 2.6% on my 2027 EPS estimate of $23.09 and 3.5% on 2028 earnings, below the 3.8% after-tax cost of debt issued in February. The quarter was strong, but this buyback pace is hard to like. x.comÂ
Gas turbines, not nuclear or renewables, are the real AI infrastructure bottleneck, and GE Vernova owns that chokepoint. Its order book is full through 2029 and now booking into 2031, turbine prices are up 300% in three years to over $250 million each, and AI and data centers make up 20% of its gas power orders. Microsoft bought seven turbines for 2.7GW in Texas, and xAI's Colossus and OpenAI's Stargate already run GE Vernova turbines. Nuclear headlines are noise; gas powers the build now. x.comÂ
The AI power trade is starting to separate promises from electrons, favoring GE Vernova over NuScale Power because the market wants power now, not in 2033. GE Vernova has a $176bn backlog with gas turbines effectively sold out for years. NuScale reported just $75,000 of revenue last quarter, thousands not millions, then filed to sell another $750m of stock. x.com x.comÂ
GE Vernova's tanking earnings are a dealbreaker, even after the stock's 60% gain in six months. It had been an earlier pick for 2026 as the year of energy following AI's year in 2025. x.comÂ
GE Vernova sits at the center of the most capital-intensive buildout in a generation because AI data centers need massive power and it builds the gas turbines that make it. Every new hyperscaler data center is effectively a new order. Its backlog is $150B and already booked, orders rose 71% last quarter, and Q1 2026 free cash flow exceeded all of 2025's. It has zero debt and $8B in cash, doubled the dividend, expanded buybacks to $10B, and targets $44-45B of revenue in 2026 and $56B in 2028. … Show more
GE Vernova is the best-in-class AI-power play heading into earnings, driven by AI data-center power demand and its gas-turbine backlog. The Street wants another full-year guidance raise, and the stock is down about 13% from its $1,196 all-time high. It ranks among the highest-conviction names of the week alongside Alphabet. The only risk is a 67x forward multiple that already prices in a lot. x.comÂ
GE Vernova is a cyclical gas-turbine manufacturer priced as a secular compounder, the basis for a sell rating. Per @StockWorthyApp, the stock fell 8.62% in a day and 9.43% over a week on concerns about an AI development slowdown. x.comÂ
GE Vernova's gas business is strengthening, just days after people were fading the stock. Per a quoted report, it expects gas capacity additions to grow about 50% by year-end, with second-half contract commitments now expected to exceed its 20GW guidance and Q4 tracking above Q3. x.comÂ