CryptoCondom
Crypto Market Commentary
Injective faces no large early-investor unlock that could add selling pressure over the long term. All of its token supply is already circulating, with market cap equal to fully diluted value; that makes holding it a healthier long-term proposition than RWA layer-1 tokens with an unlock cliff. x.com x.comÂ
Formerly low-float, high-FDV tokens that are becoming fully unlocked, such as NEAR, Uniswap's UNI and ether.fi's ETHFI, can finally go up once they stop being diluted every month. x.com x.comÂ
Monad's MON looks bullish because nearly all early investors declined to sell their locked tokens to the Monad Foundation. The foundation offered to buy locked MON at a discount reflecting the four-year lock-up, capped at $60 million, and the program has now concluded. x.comÂ
Hyperliquid is among the crypto projects proving that real revenue used for buybacks and burns drives the best long-term performance. Tokens without revenue, or whose buybacks do not offset emissions and unlocks, are inflationary assets relying on sentiment. Projects with revenue and value accrual, including Hyperliquid and GEODNET, held up surprisingly well through the bear market. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Worldcoin's token unlocks, worth around $100 million a month, need that much exit liquidity every month, and the buyers to absorb them have been drained. x.comÂ
Monad is gaining momentum after reclaiming support, and Coinbase is unlikely to let its first public ICO fail to eventually rally hard. After bouncing off higher-timeframe support, a clean break of resistance should bring solid acceleration toward new all-time highs. x.comÂ
Plasma's token could follow Pump's path, where a heavily shorted unlock became a clearing event that forced shorts to buy back. Both launched on hype, sold off at once and became hated, with the unlock dump priced in for months. About 1.67B team and investor XPL tokens unlock at the September one-year cliff, and the selling may already be front-run. Unlike Pump, which used half its revenue to buy its token, XPL lacks a revenue engine buying underneath, so it has only the setup. x.comÂ
Sui is quickly becoming a ghost chain despite strong technology, because terrible token economics and founder greed hold it back. Over six months, chain fees fell 90%, TVL 70%, DEX and perp volume over 90% and daily active addresses 85%, while market cap fell only about 50%. Cheaper gas explains some of the fee drop but not the combined decline. Founders control the unallocated supply, giving them over 80% of tokens. Sui should chase trading and DeFi, crypto's best product-market fit. x.com … Show more
Monad and Hyperliquid look like the chosen tokens for the next big altcoin run, since that is where confluence, attention and money are concentrating; buying random alts makes no sense. x.comÂ
MegaETH is being abandoned as apps leave and the team ignores criticism, while Monad grows. Per another user, TopStrike and Showdown are moving to Robinhood after MegaETH dropped its points system to build a wallet nobody wants. MegaETH's philosophy and innovations were strong; paired with Monad's humble approach and ecosystem support, it could have been crazy. x.com x.com x.comÂ