Microsoft's valuation is starting to look attractive at about 22x forward earnings, a 4.5% earnings yield, for a pristine, wide-moat compounder with secular tailwinds. It remains a cash machine, funding heavy AI and infrastructure spending from its own operations while still generating plenty of free cash flow, without borrowing or issuing stock, even with shares down double digits this year. x.com 

Microsoft is undervalued at 26x earnings versus its historical level around 35x, implying 35% upside to a fair value of about $573 for a great business. x.com 

Microsoft is expensive on cash flow even though its 19-22x forward P/E looks like a 40% discount to its 10-year average. Its 2.0% forward free-cash-flow yield sits below the 3.3% 10-year median, and at this point in the cycle earnings multiples mislead while free cash flow is what the market actually prices. x.com 

Microsoft's salesforce and governed platform unlock AI spending at conservative firms. Faster enterprise than consumer AI adoption makes it effectively the only pure play. M365 Commercial may top 20% growth next quarter, sooner than expected on tonight's guide; GitHub resegmentation helps, but it should do so this year anyway. Azure and M365, two-thirds of revenue, should grow above 50% and 20% and may accelerate. $24-25 CY27 EPS remains achievable, implying under 22x forward earnings. x.com  … Show more

Rapid revenue growth makes the capex bear case harder to justify for Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon. Their latest cited growth rates are 18%, 23%, 28% and 16% in Q2, respectively; their scale does not seem to be slowing them as expected. x.com 

Nvidia is the cheapest Magnificent Seven stock on a five-year PEG ratio at 0.72, below the 1.0 fair-value mark, while Microsoft at 1.33, Amazon at 1.81, Alphabet at 2.34, Apple at 2.43 and Tesla at 5.87 are expensive for their growth. That valuation dispersion is massive, and the market is mispricing some of them. x.com  x.com 

Microsoft is cheap in 2026 the way Alphabet was in 2025. Its drop from $450 to $360 in less than a month is getting ridiculous. x.com 

Apple's growth valuation gives too much credit to a $2,000 folding iPhone and a touchscreen MacBook. Its 36.16 forward P/E and 3.54 PEG are higher than recent readings over the past two years, making this a point to take serious profits. x.com 

Microsoft is cheap but not a long-term holding, because it is not growing fast enough while Nvidia is cheaper, growing much faster and better positioned. Microsoft may be re-rating, but the backdrop could also push it to a 15x P/E, so for now it is only a tradable situation. x.com 

A ten-year low in forward P/E makes hyperscaler valuations look more than reasonable. Goldman Sachs' chart tracks Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle as a basket. x.com