SoFi's raised profitability guidance will help its stock move past $20; a very big move will need interest rates to fall substantially. Management lifted 2026 adjusted EPS guidance 50%, from $0.60 to $0.90, and revenue guidance to $5.04B after Q3 revenue rose over 44% and adjusted EPS grew nearly 64% year over year. x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi's conservative 2027 guide leaves room to beat expectations, barring a macro shock. Its $6.4B revenue target is 4.2% above consensus and $0.90 EPS target is $0.08 ahead; Q3 revenue grew 44.5% and net margin widened 280 basis points year over year. Cross-selling is gaining traction, management says no capital raise is needed through 2027, and CEO Anthony Noto says he is as confident in durable growth at high rates as at low rates. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi's egregious dilution means business growth may fail to benefit existing shareholders. Its share count rose 61% over five years, reducing an original 1% stake to about 0.6%; even 61% earnings growth could leave earnings per share flat. As a bank, SoFi is already practically uninvestable by these standards, though dilution need not destroy value if the capital raised creates more value than the ownership surrendered. x.com 

SoFi's accelerating products per member bodes well for its long-term growth. The attached series rises from about 1.45 in March 2024 to 1.56 in September 2026, with a sharper climb in 2026. x.com 

SoFi's newly reported growth widens the gap between its operating results and a selloff driven by interest-rate fears. Revenue grew 45%, EPS 67% and members 35%, while the stock had fallen nearly 50%; the business is seen as able to succeed across rate environments. x.com 

SoFi's fundamentals are real, but S&P 500 inclusion is not a near-term catalyst, so a quick move to $25-35 from $19 is hopium, not a thesis. Revenue grew 36% and EPS doubled year over year. Yet the index already passed on SoFi in June, its market cap still hovers near the cutoff, and inclusion odds this quarter are about 10%. That answers @kylewhitegoat, who blames hedge fund manipulation and leans on the S&P catalyst. x.com 

SoFi's Q3 growth and raised outlook deepen the gap between its business and pressured shares. Adjusted revenue rose 44% to $1.4B, EBITDA 70% to $470M and members 35% to 17.1M; 2026 guidance rose to $5.04B, with a new 2027 outlook of $6.4B and $0.90 EPS. By far one of the strongest reports amid poor sentiment, this makes SoFi one of the best long-term opportunities. SoFi says eight businesses each generate over $100M annualized and targets 100M products by 2030. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi's fee growth and improving credit support its Q3 triple beat. Revenue was $1.39B vs $1.26B expected, EPS 18 cents vs 17, membership 17.1M, and guidance rose. Interchange fees grew 77% year on year, brokerage fees 47%; personal-loan net charge-offs fell to 2.26%. The guide assumes two more rate hikes this year; one looks plausible, not two, leaving upside. For 2027, it assumes four hikes and a couple more percentage points of tax. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Robinhood's higher revenue and EPS make it clearly stronger than SoFi on these earnings. SoFi's post-earnings rally is unlikely to hold; its shares are headed for single digits. x.com  x.com 

SoFi's historically conservative guidance and product-growth target make a path above $40 clear. Adjusted EPS grew 64% year over year while shares trade below 20x next-twelve-month earnings. Management raised FY26 guidance 12.5% and guided to $6.4B revenue and $0.90 EPS for FY27. Noto's 100 million-product target for 2030 is about 4x today's count and should translate into 4x earnings. Potential $2.44 EPS at a conservative 15-20x multiple implies $37-$49 by 2030; above $30 is a base case. x.com  … Show more