AllllSevens
Stock-Market Research, Institutional Trading & Market Inefficiencies
Institutions are still buying Palantir, which matters more than the tough market. Its recent PEG marked only the second high-volume accumulation event in its history, about $27B, in the same zone as the first in August 2025, and the decline from all-time highs was inefficient. The leveraged PLTU fund is still struggling to reclaim $50.20, so it may just take time. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir is still being accumulated by long-term whales willing to absorb short-term risk. One trader sold $16M of long-dated puts struck at $180, happy to be assigned shares there or collect the premium over 2.5 years. Heavy accumulation occurred around $150, and no real selling took place from the $180s all-time high. x.comÂ
Continued improvement in fundamentals and technicals could carry Palantir to megacap scale. A $1 trillion market cap is a realistic destination for strong growth companies, and Palantir appears on that path, though its timing is uncertain. Drawdowns remain opportunities to accumulate until the thesis changes. x.comÂ
Palantir's government contract activity is growing sharply, supporting its resilience despite the share-price pullback. Its $2.1 billion in 12-month obligations is up 184% from the prior year, among the strongest increases tracked. The Cryptic Bottom Index remains green despite the pullback. Its score is among the highest in the Cryptic Research System, led by growth and profitability, though catalysts and valuation score weakest. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's roughly $500B market cap and 80x sales make it prudent to trim exposure despite continued affection for the company. Its tenfold run has already delivered substantial gains, not just the beginning; smaller speculative positions are getting crushed in this environment. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's government and commercial AI demand keeps compounding. Holding through volatility still calls for careful sizing: a 590% gain can turn into a 50% drawdown fast. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's latest shakeout was a setup to buy, not a warning. In a crowded name, stops cascade as holders decide something must be wrong, handing institutions the liquidity they need before funds scurry back into longs, the 'Screw Bar' pattern @ShakePryzby1 describes. The decisive entries are a bullish open above the 21-day EMA with intraday follow-through, or a reclaim of the prior day's high. x.comÂ
Palantir looks stretched again, back at about 69 times sales. Michael Burry added March 2027 Palantir puts after covering half his shorts near $107. A further run to $187-$198 would be the better level to lean bearish, and with software stocks running hot for two weeks, the whole trade may top out for a breather. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's flat stock reaction to beating estimates on 85% revenue growth, its fastest expansion since its 2020 market debut, makes it a buying opportunity. x.comÂ
Palantir's low for the year is in after blowout earnings drove a huge up week and a breakout above the June high. It is headed back to its all-time high by year-end, rather than the expected decline to the low $90s by Q4. x.comÂ
Palantir's downtrend could turn violent as the market chases shiny new sectors and the expensive narrative may still hold. It remains a top watchlist name, but it looks double-edged here, so patience is warranted. x.comÂ
Palantir is an AI business, not an AI story, and its execution is hard to ignore. Per its Q2 results, revenue rose 93% to $1.94B, beating estimates, and US commercial revenue grew 149%, with Q3 guidance above expectations. Software-sector weakness and a rich valuation weigh on the stock, but it is a very compelling buying opportunity for long-term investors. x.com x.comÂ
