Alex
Canadian Dividend Investor, Founder of The Profit Zone/Profit Academy
Continued improvement in fundamentals and technicals could carry Palantir to megacap scale. A $1 trillion market cap is a realistic destination for strong growth companies, and Palantir appears on that path, though its timing is uncertain. Drawdowns remain opportunities to accumulate until the thesis changes. x.comÂ
Palantir's government contract activity is growing sharply, supporting its resilience despite the share-price pullback. Its $2.1 billion in 12-month obligations is up 184% from the prior year, among the strongest increases tracked. The Cryptic Bottom Index remains green despite the pullback. Its score is among the highest in the Cryptic Research System, led by growth and profitability, though catalysts and valuation score weakest. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Palantir's roughly $500B market cap and 80x sales make it prudent to trim exposure despite continued affection for the company. Its tenfold run has already delivered substantial gains, not just the beginning; smaller speculative positions are getting crushed in this environment. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir already shows companies returns on AI as they shift from testing it to demanding results. JPMorgan's $262 target is about 32% above the current price; the multi-model signal is Long, with three of four models agreeing ahead of Monday's earnings. x.comÂ
Palantir may be undervalued because the market values it as a software company while its opportunity is much bigger. It spans AI deployment, government contracts, enterprise adoption and mission-critical data infrastructure, and expensive stocks can stay expensive when the business keeps expanding. x.comÂ
Palantir's reliance on pay-as-you-go service with refunds makes customer cancellations and sudden earnings declines or write-downs a serious risk as AI and high SaaS prices pressure the business. Its 10-Q warns of these risks. Anthropic can and will easily replace Palantir with an all-in-one platform under Democratic control of the legislative branches. x.com x.comÂ
Palantir in the $130s is likely one of the best buying opportunities of the next several years. It is extremely profitable with strong fundamentals, and its products make other businesses more efficient, which merits a premium. Its 20-year ontology and AIP, which makes generative AI enterprise-ready and operational, drive commercial and government growth. This year's weak performance is healthy, and the longer the base, the bigger the breakout. x.comÂ
Palantir makes an amazing product no one else can match, and once customers are in the system it becomes incredibly difficult to leave. That has driven immense growth in customers, earnings and backlog, making it one of five growth stocks set to dominate over the next decade. x.comÂ
Palantir still trades at 87 times sales even after falling 20% this year. x.comÂ
Institutions are still buying Palantir, which matters more than the tough market. Its recent PEG marked only the second high-volume accumulation event in its history, about $27B, in the same zone as the first in August 2025, and the decline from all-time highs was inefficient. The leveraged PLTU fund is still struggling to reclaim $50.20, so it may just take time. x.com x.comÂ