Amkor's expansion in advanced packaging supports a bullish growth outlook as that work becomes more important. Packaging accounts for 88% of sales and computing revenue rose 25%; capacity spending explains negative free cash flow. Q3 EPS was $0.76, implying roughly 12x annualized earnings, while Q4 EPS guidance is $0.65-$0.75. The compute opportunity is only starting, despite the decline in mobile. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Amkor looks cheap at roughly 17x projected 2027 earnings of $2.83 a share, with its Arizona advanced-packaging capacity near TSM not expected to run near full utilization until 2028. The buildout has incurred substantial debt; the market may begin looking toward 2028 next year. The ramp remains prospective. x.com  x.com 

Amkor Technology looks expensive against its earnings, trading at 24x trailing and 19x next year's versus the roughly 18x chip-equipment makers usually get. At 18x mid-cycle EPS of $1.87, give or take 12%, fair value is $29.54-$37.60, putting the $53.86 price 43% above the top of that range. The view uses reported earnings and estimates only, without fundamental work. x.com 

Intel's poor EMIB-T packaging yields threaten its plans for next year. Per a confidential source, yields are very poor, and EMIB-T may now slip into the following year. The 14A PDK 0.9 matters more for the long term. Intel remains a very strong long-term bull case because yields should improve, though setbacks can arise along the way; whether to avoid this near-term risk is a personal judgment. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Amkor is the leading independent way to own advanced packaging, now the enabling technology for AI chips; overweight, $85 target. Advanced packaging is 75-80% of sales. Growth should beat the industry on AI demand, customers diversifying away from Taiwan and China to Amkor's global footprint, share gains and rising complexity. The target assumes about 32x $2.65 of exit-2026 earnings power versus peers at 26x. Risks: 2.5D capacity execution, customer concentration and the Kim family stake. x.com 

Amkor's underwhelming guidance is not the kind of sign seen at a bottom. x.com 

Amkor's roughly $1B convertible raise signals that AI packaging capacity is the constraint and that it is racing to scale. Bottleneck companies only tap markets when capacity is tight and demand is real; the raise may pressure shares short term but confirms the structure. It came after good earnings commentary, and the stock has broken out of a decade-long base into open sky, with @Venu_7_ noting such long-term breakouts tend to last longer than expected. x.com 

Amkor Technology is clearly undervalued at a P/E of 20. Shares fell 25% after earnings even though Amkor announced an Nvidia partnership a few days earlier. x.com 

Amkor's benefit from Intel and Apple is not all priced in, since it has about 20 years of history working with both on advanced packaging. The market simply hasn't made that connection yet, even after both companies' earnings. x.com 

Amkor Technology is having a moment as an electronics play upstream of the hyperscalers, with strong metrics and a massive, growing backlog. The stock held its support trendline and is on the verge of breaking above its pullback resistance line. x.com